Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40251222›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Disparities in the impact of drought on agriculture across countries.

Hayden Freedman, Amir AghaKouchak, Angela J Rigden, André van der Hoek, Bill Tomlinson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Drought Stress Mediated Changes in Food Crops: Mechanisms and Remediation Strategies.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hayden FreedmanDepartment of Informatics, University of California Irvine, Irvine, 92697, CA, USA. hfreedma@uci.edu.
Amir AghaKouchakDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, 92697, CA, USA.
Angela J RigdenDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, 92697, CA, USA.
André van der HoekDepartment of Informatics, University of California Irvine, Irvine, 92697, CA, USA.
Bill TomlinsonDepartment of Informatics, University of California Irvine, Irvine, 92697, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Over the last several decades, droughts driven by climate change have damaged agricultural production as the planet warms. It is crucial for the future of the global food supply to develop effective adaptation strategies. However, not all countries and regions are affected equally by drought. We fit a hierarchical Bayesian model with a dataset containing 60 years of country-level drought and agricultural productivity data to probabilistically identify the susceptibility of various countries and regions to drought. We find that regions such as Eastern Africa and Southern Asia are highly susceptible to drought, with each region exhibiting a >90% chance that drought has negatively affected agriculture, leading to estimated historical agricultural losses of >14%, while Eastern Asia is the most drought-resilient region, with only a 44% probability that drought has negatively affected agriculture in this region. The results of this study can help inform the allocation of future resources to enhance agricultural resilience in the most vulnerable regions. Additionally, they provide a foundation for case studies examining specific countries or regions that demonstrate notable resilience or susceptibility to drought.

Identifiers

PMID40251222
PMCPMC12008377

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.