Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40251165›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Earth system instability amplified biogeochemical oscillations following the end-Permian mass extinction.

Zi-Heng Li, Timothy M Lenton, Fei-Fei Zhang, Zhong-Qiang Chen, Stuart J Daines

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Zi-Heng LiState Key Laboratory of Geomicrobiology and Environmental Changes, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4145-612X
Timothy M LentonGlobal Systems Institute, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6725-7498
Fei-Fei ZhangState Key Laboratory of Critical Earth Material Cycling and Mineral Deposits, School of Earth Sciences and Engineering, and Frontiers Science Center for Critical Earth Material Cycling, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3277-445X
Zhong-Qiang ChenState Key Laboratory of Geomicrobiology and Environmental Changes, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China. zhong.qiang.chen@cug.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5341-6913
Stuart J DainesUniversity of Exeter, Exeter, UK.

Funding

China Scholarship Council (CSC) 202106410094National Science Foundation of China | National Natural Science Foundation of China-Yunnan Joint Fund (NSFC-Yunnan Joint Fund) 41930322RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/T008458/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

After the end-Permian mass extinction, the Earth system underwent extreme ecological and environmental fluctuations, including high temperatures, recurrent oceanic anoxia, and carbon cycle oscillations as demonstrated by the geochemical isotope proxy records. However, the underlying mechanism behind these oscillations remains poorly understood. Here we propose that they were produced by a coupled oscillation mode of marine phosphorus (P) and atmosphere-ocean carbon (A), driven by nonlinear redox controls on marine phosphorus burial. Our modeling demonstrates that the initial emplacement of the Siberian Traps and the mass extinction (on land and in the ocean) directly led to an early Triassic greenhouse. More importantly, it homogenized the ocean floor redox condition towards anoxia, activating amplifying feedbacks and destabilizing the system. The internal dynamics of an unstable system-rather than recurrent volcanic shocks-triggered the periodic oscillations (limit cycles) of serial excursions in carbonate carbon and uranium isotopes during the early Triassic.

Identifiers

PMID40251165
PMCPMC12008425

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.