Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40247132›Full record

ArticleCommunications medicine2025

A modeling study of pre-exposure prophylaxis to eliminate HIV in Taiwan by 2030.

Huei-Jiuan Wu, Ya-Ping Cheng, Yi-Hsuan Chen, Chia-Chen Chang, Tung Lo, Chi-Tai Fang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Testing paradox may explain increased observed prevalence of bacterial STIs among MSM on HIV PrEP: A modeling study.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Huei-Jiuan Wu *Institute of Epidemiology and Prevention Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5085-1976
Ya-Ping Cheng *Institute of Epidemiology and Prevention Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Yi-Hsuan Chen *Institute of Epidemiology and Prevention Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2796-4198
Chia-Chen Chang *Institute of Epidemiology and Prevention Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Tung Lo *Institute of Epidemiology and Prevention Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Chi-Tai Fang *Institute of Epidemiology and Prevention Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan. fangct@ntu.edu.tw.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7380-1699

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe necessity of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for ending the global AIDS epidemic by 2030 remains controversial. In Taiwan, the HIV epidemic predominantly affects young, sexually active men who have sex with men (MSM). This study aimed to model the impact and cost-effectiveness of a high-coverage oral emtricitabine/tenofovir PrEP program in Taiwan from an HIV elimination perspective.

methodsWe applied stochastic and risk/age-structured deterministic modeling to assess the impact of PrEP scale-up on the basic reproduction number (R

resultsHere we show that an intensive HIV test-and-treat strategy targeting HIV-positive individuals alone would substantially decrease HIV transmission but is not sufficient to eliminate the HIV epidemic among MSM at the estimated mixing level. In contrast, a PrEP program covering 50% of young, sexually active, high-risk, HIV-negative MSM would suppress HIV's R

conclusionOur findings strongly support scaling up PrEP for young, sexually active, high-risk, HIV-negative MSM as a critical strategy to end the HIV epidemic in Taiwan and globally.

Identifiers

PMID40247132
PMCPMC12006337

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.