Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40245362›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology2025

Improved Survival and Prognostication in Melanoma Patients With Brain Metastases: An Update of the Melanoma Graded Prognostic Assessment.

Paul W Sperduto, Kathryn E Marqueen, Enoch Chang, Jing Li, Michael A Davies, Daniel K Ebner, William G Breen, Nayan Lamba, Helen A Shih, Donna Edwards and 31 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Outcomes in long-term survivors treated with stereotactic cranial radiotherapy for brain metastases.Strahlentherapie und Onkologie : Organ der Deutschen Rontgengesellschaft ... [et al] · 2026
    Article
  2. Brain metastasis: Opportunities for novel therapies.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Evaluation of GPA, molGPA and prognostic factors in melanoma brain metastases: a single-center study.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

41 authors.

Paul W SperdutoDuke University, Durham, NC.ORCID 0000-0002-4628-7161
Kathryn E MarqueenUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX.ORCID 0000-0002-3077-677X
Enoch ChangUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX.ORCID 0000-0002-2879-5445
Jing LiUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX.
Michael A DaviesUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX.ORCID 0000-0002-0977-0912
Daniel K EbnerMayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
William G BreenMayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.ORCID 0000-0001-8039-2398
Nayan LambaMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-2598-6529
Helen A ShihMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0003-1550-9726
Donna EdwardsUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.ORCID 0000-0001-7130-4755
Michelle M KimUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.ORCID 0000-0001-7566-6411
Amandeep MahalBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Rifaquat RahmanBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-9443-1797
Nii AnkrahUniversity of Alabama, Birmingham, Birmingham, AL.
Drexell H BoggsUniversity of Alabama, Birmingham, Birmingham, AL.ORCID 0000-0003-1046-1671
Calvin LewisUniversity of Iowa, Iowa City, IA.ORCID 0000-0003-2673-5884
Daniel HyerUniversity of Iowa, Iowa City, IA.ORCID 0000-0002-7638-9599
John M BuattiUniversity of Iowa, Iowa City, IA.ORCID 0000-0001-8499-3721
Fasila JohriSunnybrook Odette Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Hany SolimanSunnybrook Odette Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Laura MasucciCentre Hospitalier de l'Universite de Montreal, Montreal, Canada.
David RobergeCentre Hospitalier de l'Universite de Montreal, Montreal, Canada.
Sanjay AnejaYale University, New Haven, CT.ORCID 0000-0001-5681-7528
Veronica ChiangYale University, New Haven, CT.ORCID 0000-0003-1882-3876
Christina PhuongUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-5854-0593
Steve BraunsteinUniversity of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-9841-9357
Salah DajaniNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL.
Sean SachdevNorthwestern University, Chicago, IL.ORCID 0000-0001-7682-9673
Zihan WanDuke Cancer Institute-Biostatistics Shared Resource, Durham, NC.
Donna NiedzwieckiDuke Cancer Institute-Biostatistics Shared Resource, Durham, NC.ORCID 0000-0002-3566-0450
Eugene VaiosDuke University, Durham, NC.ORCID 0000-0003-2122-6650
John P KirkpatrickDuke University, Durham, NC.
Jared PasetskyColumbia University, New York, NY.ORCID 0009-0009-0789-8435
Tony J C WangColumbia University, New York, NY.ORCID 0000-0001-5809-3025
Tugce Kutuk6Miami Cancer Institute, Baptist Health South Florida, Miami, FL.
Rupesh Kotecha6Miami Cancer Institute, Baptist Health South Florida, Miami, FL.ORCID 0000-0001-6927-0402
Richard B Ross7University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO.ORCID 0000-0002-9279-9168
Chad G Rusthoven7University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO.ORCID 0000-0002-6978-2077
Toshimichi Nakano8University of Niigata, Niigata, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-5033-4509
Hussein A TawbiUniversity of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX.ORCID 0000-0003-1942-851X
Minesh P Mehta6Miami Cancer Institute, Baptist Health South Florida, Miami, FL.ORCID 0000-0002-4812-5713

Funding

Women's Cancer Research ProgramP30CA014236 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI JOHN N. NORTON · 1985 to 2026
$174.8M
Duke Radiation Oncology and Radiology Stimulating Access to Research in ResidencyR38CA245204 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI FLOYD, SCOTT R · 2020 to 2023
$1.4M
Cell-Free DNA Methylation Patterns as a Biomarker for Tumor Biology and Clinical Outcomes for Glioblastoma PatientsK38CA292995 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Eugene Vaios · 2024 to 2026
$276k
NCI NIH HHS K38 CA292995NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014236NCI NIH HHS R38 CA245204
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeSurvival for patients with melanoma has recently improved. The propensity of melanoma to metastasize to the brain remains a common and serious feature of this disease. The purposes of this study were to evaluate prognostic factors for patients with newly diagnosed melanoma brain metastases (MBMs) in a large cohort treated with modern multimodal therapies, compare those results with those in prior eras, and update the Melanoma Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA).

methodsUnivariable and multivariable (MVA) analyses of prognostic factors and treatments associated with survival were performed on 1,796 patients with newly diagnosed MBM treated between January 01, 2015, and December 31, 2021, using a multi-institutional retrospective database. Multiple imputation was used to address missingness of potential predictors. Significant variables in combined MVA were used to update the Melanoma GPA. Comparisons were made with legacy cohorts.

resultsMedian survivals for cohorts A (1985-2007, n = 481), B (2006-2015, n = 823), and C (2015-2021, n = 1,796) were 6.7, 9.8, and 16.6 months and median follow-up times were 40.1, 43.6, and 48.8 months, respectively. In combined MVA, significant prognostic factors for survival were higher Karnofsky Performance Status, fewer MBMs, absence of extracranial metastases, lower serum lactate dehydrogenase, and no immunotherapy before MBM. These factors were incorporated into the updated Melanoma GPA. The combined median and 3-year survivals for patients with GPA 0-1, 1.5-2, and 2.5-4.0 were 5.4, 13.2, and 43.2 months and 12.4%, 28.8%, and 51.6%, respectively.

conclusionPrognostic factors have changed and survival has improved for patients with MBM but varies widely by GPA. The updated Melanoma GPA calculator (BrainMetGPA), available free online, can be used to estimate survival, individualize treatment, stratify clinical trials, guide surveillance, and augment clinical trial eligibility. Multidisciplinary treatment is essential. Trials are needed to elucidate the optimal sequencing of various therapeutic modalities.

Indexed as

Brain NeoplasmsMelanomaSkin NeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival RateYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40245362
PMCPMC12119226

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.