Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40244828›Full record

Trial reportRheumatology (Oxford, England)2025

Unsupervised machine learning identifies distinct SLE patient endotypes with differential response to belimumab.

Roberto Depascale, Raffaele Da Mutten, Julius Lindblom, Nursen Cetrez, Leonardo Palazzo, Luca Iaccarino, Andrea Doria, Dionysis Nikolopoulos, Mariele Gatto, Ioannis Parodis

Erratum issuedAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Lessons Learnt from the Belimumab Trials in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  4. Artificial Intelligence in Rheumatology: Quo Vadis?Mediterranean journal of rheumatology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Roberto DepascaleDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine DIMED, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Raffaele Da MuttenDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Center for Molecular Medicine (CMM), Stockholm, Sweden.
Julius LindblomDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Center for Molecular Medicine (CMM), Stockholm, Sweden.
Nursen CetrezDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Center for Molecular Medicine (CMM), Stockholm, Sweden.
Leonardo PalazzoDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Center for Molecular Medicine (CMM), Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2652-7447
Luca IaccarinoDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine DIMED, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Andrea DoriaDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine DIMED, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-0548-4983
Dionysis NikolopoulosDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Center for Molecular Medicine (CMM), Stockholm, Sweden.
Mariele GattoAcademic Rheumatology Centre, Department of Clinical and Biological Sciences, University of Turin, AO Mauriziano di Torino, Turin, Italy.
Ioannis ParodisDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Center for Molecular Medicine (CMM), Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-4875-5395

Funding

AstraZenecaKarolinska InstitutetKing Gustaf V's 80-year Foundation FAI-2020-0741Knowledge Foundation 20200017Professor Nanna Svartz Foundation 2020-00368Region Stockholm FoUI-955483Swedish Rheumatism Association R-941095Ulla and Roland Gustafsson Foundation 2021-26
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine SLE endotypes according to B cell immunophenotyping and serological profile and assess endotypes' response to belimumab.

methodsWe analysed data from 796 patients with SLE from the phase III trial BLISS-SC. Unsupervised machine learning employing factor analysis of mixed data (FAMD) and subsequent clustering determined endotypes based on B cell immunophenotyping and serological profiles. Cox regression was used to assess belimumab efficacy on inducing lupus low disease activity state (LLDAS) and definitions of remission in SLE (DORIS) remission within clusters.

resultsThree endotypes were determined. Compared with each other, cluster 1 (n = 191) displayed higher proportions of CD19+CD24b+CD27+ regulatory B cells (mean ± SD: 35.9%±12.6%), CD19+CD20+CD27+ bulk memory B cells (32.2%±9.9%), CD19+CD20+CD69+ activated B cells (0.2%±0.3%), CD19+CD20-CD138+ long-lived plasma cells (0.7%±1.0%) and CD19+CD38b+CD27b+ SLE-associated plasma cells (6.6%±7.0%). Cluster 2 (n = 366) displayed higher proportions of CD19+CD24bbrightCD38bbrightCD27- transitional B cells (6.3%±9.0%) and CD19+CD20+CD27- naïve B cells (85.4%±7.2%), and lower proportions of CD19+CD20-CD138+ peripheral long-lived plasma cells (0.2%±0.3%) and CD19+CD38b+CD27b+ SLE-associated plasma cells (1.6%±2.0%). Cluster 3 (n = 239) displayed a higher proportion of CD19+CD20+CD138+ short-lived plasma cells (0.1%±0.1%) and higher serological activity, being enriched in anti-double stranded(ds)DNA, anti-ENAs, antiphospholipid antibodies and hypocomplementemia. Use of belimumab was superior to placebo in inducing sustained LLDAS [hazard ratio (HR): 2.22; 95% CI: 1.18-4.17; P = 0.014] and DORIS remission (HR: 3.45; 95% CI: 1.2-9.94; P = 0.022) in cluster 2.

conclusionThree distinct SLE endotypes were identified based on B cell immunophenotyping and serological profiles, showing differential benefit from belimumab therapy.

Indexed as

Antibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedB-LymphocytesImmunosuppressive AgentsLupus Erythematosus, SystemicUnsupervised Machine LearningAdultFemaleHumansImmunophenotypingMaleMiddle AgedTreatment OutcomeAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedbelimumabImmunosuppressive AgentsB cellsbelimumabmachine learningSLE

Identifiers

PMID40244828
PMCPMC12316369

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.