ArticleRoyal Society open science2025
An inevitably ageing world: analysis on the evolutionary pattern of age structure in 200 countries.
Article in Royal Society open science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Digital alarm system with safety sensor and camera in special housing facilities-supportive or intrusive? A qualitative study of older adults' experiences.BMC geriatrics · 2026Article
- Healthcare applications for elderly: a scoping review and a practical roadmap for developing health apps.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2026Article
- Analysis of Disease Burden and Future Trend Prediction for Iron Deficiency-Induced Abortion and Miscarriage in BRICS Countries.International journal of women's health · 2026Article
- Stationary Population Dynamics Reveal a Structural Typology of Global Aging: A Binary Model Approach Across 195 Countries.Research square · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Human reproductive, mortality and migration behaviours can often be standardized across countries. However, the universality of population growth laws remains a subject of debate. This study models age-specific population data as a three-dimensional tensor and applies high-dimensional tensor decomposition to uncover macro-level patterns in demographic systems across 200 countries over the past 70 years. The findings reveal that, while disparities in age demographics are widening, most nations follow remarkably similar evolutionary trajectories, differing mainly in the pace of change. A universal transition from the demographic dividend to population ageing is evident, with even labour-abundant regions such as Africa, Asia and South America inevitably facing this demographic shift. By incorporating economic indicators, the study quantitatively demonstrates the coordination between population structure and economic growth, while identifying notable exceptions, such as Gulf states that remain both affluent and youthful, and countries like North Korea, Tunisia, Sri Lanka and Ukraine that are ageing without first achieving significant economic wealth.
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