Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40240326›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Extreme compound events in the equatorial and South Atlantic.

Regina R Rodrigues, Camila Artana, Afonso Gonçalves Neto, Thomas L Frölicher, Noel Keenlyside, Alistair J Hobday, Friedrich A Burger, Piero S Bernardo, Julia Araújo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Regina R RodriguesDepartment of Oceanography, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, SC, Brazil. regina.rodrigues@ufsc.br.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8010-4018
Camila ArtanaLaboratoire LOCEAN-IPSL, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.
Afonso Gonçalves NetoDepartment of Oceanography, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, SC, Brazil.
Thomas L FrölicherClimate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2348-7854
Noel KeenlysideGeophysical Institute, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8708-6868
Alistair J HobdayCSIRO Environment, Hobart, TAS, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3194-8326
Friedrich A BurgerClimate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7781-8498
Piero S BernardoDepartment of Oceanography, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, SC, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0178-9125
Julia AraújoDepartment of Oceanography, Federal University of Santa Catarina, Florianópolis, SC, Brazil.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The impacts of marine heatwaves (MHWs) on marine ecosystems can be amplified when combined with other extreme events. Here, we investigate the spatiotemporal evolution of compound events of MHW, high acidity and low chlorophyll in the equatorial and South Atlantic, using observation-based datasets and reanalysis products. We show that the frequency and intensity of these triple compound events under a fixed baseline have increased dramatically over the past two decades, peaking in the most recent years. We analyse the drivers of triple compound events for six regions and find that, for the Angola Front and Brazil-Malvinas Confluence regions, these events are associated with a poleward shift of the fronts. In the Agulhas Leakage region, an increase in warmer waters entering from the Indian Ocean leads to compound extremes. In the western equatorial and subtropical Atlantic, they are caused by changes in the air-sea heat fluxes, while in the eastern equatorial by a weakening of upwelling. In addition, triple compound events are widespread over the South Atlantic during El Niño events, which is important because MHWs can be predicted when associated with ENSO.

Identifiers

PMID40240326
PMCPMC12003905

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.