Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40239134›Full record

Trial reportJournal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology2025

Development and Validation of an Artificial Intelligence Digital Pathology Biomarker to Predict Benefit of Long-Term Hormonal Therapy and Radiotherapy in Men With High-Risk Prostate Cancer Across Multiple Phase III Trials.

Andrew J Armstrong, Vinnie Y T Liu, Ramprasaath R Selvaraju, Emmalyn Chen, Jeffry P Simko, Sandy DeVries, Oliver Sartor, Howard M Sandler, Osama Mohamad, Huei-Chung Huang and 17 more

Abstract readValidation StudyClinical Trial, Phase IIIRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  14. Broadening the scope of artificial intelligence in oncology.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors.

Andrew J ArmstrongDuke University Medical Center, Durham, NC.ORCID 0000-0001-7012-1754
Vinnie Y T LiuArtera Inc, Los Altos, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-7152-6830
Ramprasaath R SelvarajuArtera Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Emmalyn ChenArtera Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Jeffry P SimkoUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.
Sandy DeVriesUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.
Oliver SartorMayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.ORCID 0000-0002-8777-7343
Howard M SandlerCedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-8193-5769
Osama MohamadUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.ORCID 0000-0003-2972-657X
Huei-Chung HuangArtera Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Jacqueline GriffinArtera Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Rikiya YamashitaArtera Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Andre EstevaArtera Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Phuoc T TranUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore, MD.ORCID 0000-0002-0147-0376
Daniel E SprattCase Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH.ORCID 0000-0002-5973-4741
John Hi CarsonSaint John Regional Hospital, Saint John, New Brunswick, CA.
Christopher PetersNortheast Radiation Oncology Center, Dunmore, PA accrual for Regional Hospital of Scranton.
Elizabeth GoreZablocki Veterans Administration Medical Center, Milwaukee, WI.
Steve P LeeLong Beach VA Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-7168-1542
Jedidiah M MonsonSaint Agnes Medical Center, Fresno, CA.
Mark E AugspurgerBaptist Medical Center South, Jacksonville, FL.
Ali El-GayedSaskatoon Cancer Centre, Saskatoon, SK.ORCID 0000-0002-4581-2892
Joseph P RodgersNRG Oncology Statistics and Data Management Center, Philadelphia, PA.
Rana McKayUniversity of California San Diego Moores Cancer Center, La Jolla, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-0581-7963
Todd MorganUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.ORCID 0000-0002-1140-0603
Felix Y FengUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-0963-7687
Paul L NguyenBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.

Funding

NRG Oncology Network Group Operations Center - GY9 BIQSFP Reports/BudgetsU10CA180868 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI NORMAN WOLMARK · 2014 to 2026
$206.8M
Statistics CoreU10CA180822 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI James J. Dignam, GREG YOTHERS · 2014 to 2026
$146.4M
NRG Oncology NCORP Research Base-BIQSFPUG1CA189867 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI Deborah Watkins Bruner, Lisa A. Kachnic · 2014 to 2026
$140.5M
NRG Oncology Biospecimen BankU24CA196067 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI Tanner J. Freeman, Nilsa Del Carmen Ramirez Milan · 2015 to 2026
$42.6M
Resource Sharing CoreU54CA273956 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI Phuoc T. Tran · 2022 to 2026
$8.9M
UM LAPs -UG1 GrantUG1CA233160 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ANNE F SCHOTT · 2019 to 2026
$5.4M
Tumor-barcoding coupled with high-throughput sequencing of a novel chemoradiation resistant SCLC mouse modelU01CA231776 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI HANN, CHRISTINE L., MARCHIONNI, LUIGI · 2018 to 2022
$3.9M
Integrating bioinformatics into multiscale models for hepatocellular carcinomaU01CA212007 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI EWALD, ANDREW JOSEF, FERTIG, ELANA · 2018 to 2022
$3.2M
Tumor-barcoding coupled with high-throughput sequencing for quantitative radiogenomics of the abscopal response in NSCLCR01CA271540 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Phuoc T. Tran · 2023 to 2026
$2.3M
Targeting convergent oncogenic signaling during AR inhibition to overcome metastasis and immune evasion in prostate cancerR01CA233585 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI ARMSTRONG, ANDREW J · 2019 to 2023
$2.2M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA233585NCI NIH HHS R01 CA271540NCI NIH HHS U01 CA212007NCI NIH HHS U01 CA231776NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180822NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180868NCI NIH HHS U24 CA196067NCI NIH HHS U54 CA273956NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA189867NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA233160
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeLong-term androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) improves survival in men with high-risk localized prostate cancer (PCa) receiving radiotherapy (RT). Predictive biomarkers are needed to guide ADT duration.

methodsA multimodal artificial intelligence (MMAI)-derived predictive biomarker was trained for long-term (LT) versus short-term (ST) ADT using pretreatment digital prostate biopsy images and clinical data (age, prostate-specific antigen, Gleason, and T stage) from six NRG Oncology phase III randomized radiotherapy trials. The novel MMAI-derived biomarker was developed to predict the differential benefit of LT-ADT on the primary end point, distant metastasis (DM). MMAI predictive utility was validated on a seventh randomized trial, RTOG 9202 (N = 1,192), which randomly assigned men to RT + ST-ADT (4 months) versus RT + LT-ADT (28 months). Fine-Gray and cumulative incidence analyses for DM, and secondarily, death with DM, were performed. Deaths without DM were treated as competing risks.

resultsIn the validation cohort (median follow-up, 17.2 years), LT-ADT significantly improved DM from 26% to 17% (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR], 0.64 [95% CI, 0.50 to 0.82],

conclusionTo our knowledge, the MMAI model is the first validated predictive biomarker to guide ADT duration with RT in localized/locally advanced PCa. Approximately one third of men with high-risk PCa could safely be spared the additional 24 months of ADT and the associated morbidity.

Indexed as

Androgen AntagonistsArtificial IntelligenceBiomarkers, TumorProstatic NeoplasmsAgedClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicHumansMaleMiddle AgedRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicAndrogen AntagonistsBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID40239134
PMCPMC12228211

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.