Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40239057›Full record

Trial reportBlood advances2025

Canagliflozin may increase thromboembolic events in males with erythrocytosis but not in females.

Yohei Doi, Takayuki Hamano, Osamu Yamaguchi, Yoshitaka Isaka

3 registry-linked trialsAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Blood advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It reports registered trial NCT01032629. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01032629 phase3completed

A Randomized, Multicenter, Double-Blind, Parallel, Placebo-Controlled Study of the Effects of JNJ-28431754 on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Adult Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Ran2009Enrolled4,330Registered outcomes13Posted comparisons33ConditionsCardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Risk FactorsArmsCanagliflozin (JNJ-28431754) 100 mg, Canagliflozin (JNJ-28431754) 300 mg, Placebo
Open the trial in the graph
NCT01989754 phase4completed

A Randomized, Multicenter, Double-Blind, Parallel, Placebo-Controlled Study of the Effects of Canagliflozin on Renal Endpoints in Adult Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Ran2014Enrolled5,813Registered outcomes3Posted comparisons3ConditionsAlbuminuria, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2ArmsCanagliflozin, 100 mg, Canagliflozin, 300 mg, Placebo
Open the trial in the graph
NCT02065791 phase3completed

A Randomized, Double-blind, Event-driven, Placebo-controlled, Multicenter Study of the Effects of Canagliflozin on Renal and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Diabetic Nephropathy

Ran2014Enrolled4,401Registered outcomes8Posted comparisons8ConditionsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Diabetic NephropathyArmsCanagliflozin, Placebo
Open the trial in the graph
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. KDIGO 2026 Clinical Practice Guideline for Anemia in Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD): a commentary from the European Renal Best Practice (ERBP).Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Yohei DoiDepartment of Nephrology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Osaka, Suita, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-5165-291X
Takayuki HamanoDepartment of Nephrology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Osaka, Suita, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-2100-9106
Osamu YamaguchiDepartment of Cardiology, Pulmonology, Hypertension and Nephrology, Ehime University Graduate School of Medicine, Toon, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7461-369X
Yoshitaka IsakaDepartment of Nephrology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Osaka, Suita, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-0820-7167

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

abstractSodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are increasingly recognized as a common cause of drug-induced erythrocytosis. SGLT2 inhibitor-induced erythropoiesis may increase blood viscosity and precipitate thromboembolism, particularly in patients with preexisting erythrocytosis. We conducted a post hoc pooled analysis of patient-level data from the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Canagliflozin Cardiovascular Assessment Study program and the Canagliflozin and Renal Events in Diabetes with Established Nephropathy Clinical Evaluation trial, which assessed the safety and efficacy of canagliflozin in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. The primary outcome, a composite of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and any thromboembolism, was evaluated using sex-specific Cox models, with baseline hematocrit as an effect modifier. Among participants with available baseline hematocrit values (98.5% [14 321/14 543]), 35% were female. Canagliflozin significantly increased hematocrit levels compared with placebo even in patients with erythrocytosis (males > 49%; females > 48%) and increased the proportion of individuals with erythrocytosis at 1 year (males, 16.9% vs 5.5%; females, 5.2% vs 1.0%). Overall, canagliflozin did not alter the risk of the primary outcome in either males or females. However, in males, baseline hematocrit levels modified the treatment effect on the primary outcome, whether assessed categorically (anemia, normal, and erythrocytosis) or continuously with fractional polynomial (FP) analysis (P interaction < .05). FP analysis showed treatment benefits in anemic males but show harm in those with erythrocytosis, primarily driven by an increased risk of MI. Meanwhile, no heterogeneity was seen in females for these outcomes. In conclusion, canagliflozin may pose a safety concern for thromboembolism in males with erythrocytosis at baseline, warranting further investigations. These trials were registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov as #NCT01032629, #NCT01989754, and #NCT02065791.

Indexed as

CanagliflozinPolycythemiaSodium-Glucose Transporter 2 InhibitorsThromboembolismAgedDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Double-Blind MethodFemaleHematocritHumansMaleMiddle AgedSex FactorsCanagliflozinSodium-Glucose Transporter 2 Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID40239057
PMCPMC12246709

What OpenQuestion holds

Texttitle and abstract
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.