ArticleScience advances2025
Global environmental plastic dispersal under OECD policy scenarios toward 2060.
Article in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Accelerated polyethylene biodegradation in soil through carbon nanomaterial-primed rhizospheres.Environmental science and ecotechnology · 2026Article
- The Plant-to-Plant Circular Strategy: Coupling Photodegradation and Phytoremediation With Plant-Based Nanomaterials for Plastic Degradation.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026Article
- Polyhydroxybutyrate (PHB): Production, Properties, Modification Strategies, Additive Manufacturing, Biodegradation, and Applications.Materials (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Review
- EngineeringiScience · 2026Article
- Biodegradable polylactic acid microplastics rewire the soil food web by impeding amoebae predation.The ISME journal · 2026Article
- Engineered microbes to enable a circular economy for biodegradable plastics.Frontiers in microbiology · 2026Review
- Micro- and nanoplastics reduce the phagocytosis and intracellular killing of E. coli by THP1-Blue™ NFκB monocytes.Infection · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Recent studies and OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) reports provide roadmaps to reduce dispersal of mismanaged plastic waste to aquatic environments. Here, we use a coupled land-ocean-atmosphere model to simulate global plastic and microplastic dispersal for different OECD policy scenarios toward 2060. We establish a global plastic budget for the year 2015, with revised estimates of the total marine plastic pool of 263 teragrams (Tg, million tons), and land to sea plastic transport of 14 Tg per year, implying four to nine times larger leakage than OECD estimates. Model simulation of two ambitious policy scenarios show a peak in land to sea transport of total plastics of 23 Tg per year around 2045 and a decrease thereafter. Environmental concentrations of small microplastics remain high after 2060 due to continuous fragmentation of legacy mismanaged waste on land and indicate the need for remediation of legacy terrestrial plastic waste in policy instruments.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.