Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40235631›Full record

ArticleClinical kidney journal2025

eGFR slope modelling predicts long-term clinical benefit with nefecon in a real-world IgAN population.

Jonathan Barratt, Andrew M Stone, Heather N Reich, Richard A Lafayette

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical kidney journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jonathan BarrattCollege of Life Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Andrew M StoneStone Biostatistics Ltd, Crewe, UK.
Heather N ReichDepartment of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, University Health Network, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Richard A LafayetteDivision of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Nefecon is an oral, targeted-release formulation of budesonide approved to reduce kidney function loss in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). In the phase 3 NefIgArd trial, 9 months of nefecon treatment preserved estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and reduced urine protein-creatinine ratio versus placebo, for 15 months post-treatment. A modelling analysis was conducted to predict nefecon's long-term benefits on clinical outcomes. Methods: A published linear regression model was used to extrapolate nefecon's effect on the eGFR slope in NefIgArd to predict its effect on the clinical outcome of kidney failure, eGFR <15 ml/min/1.73 m Results: A total of 1684 LGH-NeflgArd 'matched pairs' were obtained. Nefecon was predicted to delay the time to clinical outcome by 12.8 years (95% confidence interval 4.8-27.9), with median time to outcome of 9.6 years for patients receiving supportive care only versus 22.4 years for nefecon-treated patients. The NeflgArd 2-year eGFR slope yielded a log hazard ratio for the clinical outcome of 0.38 (95% confidence interval 0.21-0.63), a 62% risk reduction versus placebo. Of patients receiving only supportive care, 52% were modelled to have a clinical outcome within 10 years versus 24% of nefecon-treated patients. Conclusion: This modelling analysis indicates that the eGFR benefit seen with nefecon predicts a substantial delay in progression to kidney failure.

Indexed as

end-stage kidney diseaseglomerular filtration rateIgA nephropathykidney failureproteinuria

Identifiers

PMID40235631
PMCPMC11997755

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.