ArticleNature communications2025
Global increases of salt intrusion in estuaries under future environmental conditions.
Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Episodic Salinity Management to Counter Climate Change Effects on Tidal Brackish and Fresh Wetlands.Environmental management · 2026Article
- Linking hydrodynamic disturbances to microeukaryote biogeography: ciliate community shifts reveal freshwater plume and seawater intrusion dynamics.ISME communications · 2026Article
- Long-term hydrodynamic changes in marginal estuarine seas: the role of sea level rise and freshwater fluxes.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- The Emerging Global Threat of Salt Contamination of Water Supplies in Tidal Rivers.Environmental science & technology letters · 2025Review
- An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation.Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures · 2025Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In recent years, increased salt intrusion in surface waters has threatened freshwater availability in coastal regions worldwide. Yet, current future projections of salt intrusion are limited to local regions or changes to single forcing agents. Here, we quantify compounding contributions from changes in river discharge and relative sea level to changing future salt intrusion under a high-emission scenario (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway, SSP3-7.0) for 18 estuaries around the world. We find that the annual 90th percentile future salt intrusion is projected to increase between 1.3% and 18.2% (median 9.1%) in 89% of the studied estuaries worldwide. Our analysis also indicates that, on average, sea-level rise contributes approximately two times more to increasing future salt intrusion than reduced river discharge. We further show that the return levels of present-day 100-year salt intrusion events are projected to increase between 3.2% and 25.2% (median 10.2%) in 83% of the studied estuaries.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
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