Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40229346›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Cost-effectiveness of CDK4/6 inhibitors for second-line HR+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer in China.

Caifeng Jia, Sen Zhang, Jie Wang, Bing Feng, Fenghao Shi, Meiqi Wang, Sainan Li, Hao Xu, Mingxia Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Real-world efficacy and prognostic factors of CDK4/6 inhibitors in HRTranslational breast cancer research : a journal focusing on translational research in breast cancer · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Caifeng JiaDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Sen ZhangDepartment of Pharmacy, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Jie WangDepartment of Pharmacy, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Bing FengDepartment of Clinical Pharmacy, The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Fenghao ShiInternational Research Center for Medicinal Administration, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Meiqi WangDepartment of Breast Center, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Sainan LiDepartment of Breast Center, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Hao XuDepartment of Medical Insurance, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Mingxia WangDepartment of Clinical Pharmacology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China. 46700792@hebmu.edu.cn.

Funding

Hebei Province Medical Science Research Project Plan 20240243
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Hormone receptor HR-positive/HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer is the most common subtype in China, representing 60-70% of cases, with a rising incidence due to aging demographics and lifestyle changes. CDK4/6 inhibitors such as palbociclib, ribociclib and abemaciclib have been proven effective in treating HR+/HER2 - advanced or metastatic breast cancer (ABC/MBC), though they may increase healthcare costs. This study aims to compare the efficacy, safety and cost-effectiveness of CDK4/6 inhibitors for the second-line treatment of HR+/HER2 - ABC/MBC from the Chinese healthcare perspective. A cohort-based partitioned survival model was utilized, drawing on the survival data published from PALOMA-3, MONALEESA-3 and MONARCH-2 trials. Costs, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were used to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) over a 15-year time horizon. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the model results. In the base-case analysis, the model estimated health benefits to be 2.10 QALYs for palbociclib plus fulvestrant (PAL + FUL), 2.55 QALYs for ribociclib plus fulvestrant (RIB + FUL), and 2.60 QALYs for abemaciclib plus fulvestrant (ABE + FUL), with corresponding costs of $34,423, $41,119, and $48,019. Compared with PAL + FUL, the ICERs were $27,161 per QALY for ABE + FUL and $15,073 per QALY for RIB + FUL. The robustness of these findings was confirmed through uncertainty analyses. Among the three strategies, the most cost-effective probabilities of PAL + FUL, RIB + FUL and ABE + FUL were 0%, 99.8%, and 0.2% under the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 3 times per-capita gross domestic product ($37,738) in China. This study indicated that both RIB + FUL and ABE + FUL are cost-effective at the WTP threshold compared with PAL + FUL. Notably, RIB + FUL offers the greatest cost-effective advantage for the second-line treatment of HR+/HER2 - ABC/MBC among these three CDK4/6 inhibitors.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsCyclin-Dependent Kinase 4Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 6Protein Kinase InhibitorsAminopyridinesBenzimidazolesChinaCost-Benefit AnalysisErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleHumansNeoplasm MetastasisPiperazinesPurinesPyridinesQuality-Adjusted Life YearsabemaciclibAminopyridinesBenzimidazolesCDK4 protein, humanCDK6 protein, humanCyclin-Dependent Kinase 4Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 6ERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasespalbociclibPiperazinesProtein Kinase InhibitorsPurinesPyridinesReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, ProgesteroneribociclibBreast cancerCDK4/6 inhibitorsChinaCost-effectivenessFulvestrantHR-positive/HER2-negative

Identifiers

PMID40229346
PMCPMC11997058

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.