Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40228114›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Temperature thresholds induce abrupt shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem services in montane ecosystems worldwide.

Xiao-Min Zeng, Miguel Berdugo, Tadeo Saez-Sandino, Dongxue Tao, Tingting Ren, Guiyao Zhou, Yu-Rong Liu, Cesar Terrer, Peter B Reich, Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Temperature thresholds induce abrupt shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem services in montane ecosystems worldwide.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Xiao-Min ZengLaboratorio de Biodiversidad y Funcionamiento Ecosistémico, Instituto de Recursos Naturales y Agrobiología de Sevilla (IRNAS), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Sevilla E-41012, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-4978-1015
Miguel BerdugoDepartment of Biodiversity, Ecology and Evolution, Faculty of Biological Sciences, University Complutense of Madrid, Madrid 28040, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-1053-8907
Tadeo Saez-SandinoHawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Penrith, NSW 2753, Australia.
Dongxue TaoLaboratorio de Biodiversidad y Funcionamiento Ecosistémico, Instituto de Recursos Naturales y Agrobiología de Sevilla (IRNAS), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Sevilla E-41012, Spain.
Tingting RenDepartment of Ecology, Co-Innovation Center for Sustainable Forestry in Southern China, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China.
Guiyao ZhouLaboratorio de Biodiversidad y Funcionamiento Ecosistémico, Instituto de Recursos Naturales y Agrobiología de Sevilla (IRNAS), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Sevilla E-41012, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-1385-3913
Yu-Rong LiuCollege of Resources and Environment, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1112-4255
Cesar TerrerDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.ORCID 0000-0002-5479-3486
Peter B ReichHawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Penrith, NSW 2753, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-4424-662X
Manuel Delgado-BaquerizoLaboratorio de Biodiversidad y Funcionamiento Ecosistémico, Instituto de Recursos Naturales y Agrobiología de Sevilla (IRNAS), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Sevilla E-41012, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-6499-576X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Montane ecosystems are crucial for maintaining global biodiversity and function that sustain life on our planet. Yet, these ecosystems are highly vulnerable to changing temperatures and may undergo critical transitions under ongoing climate change. What we do not know is to what extent montane biodiversity and ecosystem services will respond to local temperature variations in a gradual versus abrupt manner across global environments. To fill this knowledge gap, we conducted a global synthesis, including 4,462 observations from 290 elevation gradients, to investigate how biodiversity (spanning animals and plants) and ecosystem services (including plant production, soil carbon, and fertility) respond to local temperature variations along elevation gradients. We found that nearly one-third of these gradients exhibited abrupt shifts in multiple biodiversity and ecosystem services in response to local variations in temperature along elevation gradients. More specifically, we showed that once a particular local temperature level (~10 °C for mean annual temperature) was reached, even small increases in temperature resulted in dramatic variations in biodiversity and ecosystem services. We further showed that those abrupt shifts in response to local temperature increases were commonly positive for plant and animal diversity, as well as plant production, while soil carbon and fertility more commonly exhibit negative abrupt trends. Our work, based on the most comprehensive empirical evidence available so far, reveals the pervasive abrupt responses of biodiversity and ecosystem services to local temperature variations in montane ecosystems worldwide, highlighting the highly sensitive nature of montane ecosystems in the context of climate change.

Indexed as

BiodiversityEcosystemTemperatureAltitudeAnimalsClimate ChangeSoilSoilclimatic changeelevation gradientlocal temperaturenon-linear responsesthresholds

Identifiers

PMID40228114
PMCPMC12037028

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.