ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025
Temperature thresholds induce abrupt shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem services in montane ecosystems worldwide.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate-Driven Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Potential Distribution forEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Climate response to Nature Future scenarios in a regional Earth System Model.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Spatial patterns and future potential of tree species richness and structural diversity in China's forests.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026Article
- Temperature thresholds induce abrupt shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem services in montane ecosystems worldwide.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
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10 authors.
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Abstract
Montane ecosystems are crucial for maintaining global biodiversity and function that sustain life on our planet. Yet, these ecosystems are highly vulnerable to changing temperatures and may undergo critical transitions under ongoing climate change. What we do not know is to what extent montane biodiversity and ecosystem services will respond to local temperature variations in a gradual versus abrupt manner across global environments. To fill this knowledge gap, we conducted a global synthesis, including 4,462 observations from 290 elevation gradients, to investigate how biodiversity (spanning animals and plants) and ecosystem services (including plant production, soil carbon, and fertility) respond to local temperature variations along elevation gradients. We found that nearly one-third of these gradients exhibited abrupt shifts in multiple biodiversity and ecosystem services in response to local variations in temperature along elevation gradients. More specifically, we showed that once a particular local temperature level (~10 °C for mean annual temperature) was reached, even small increases in temperature resulted in dramatic variations in biodiversity and ecosystem services. We further showed that those abrupt shifts in response to local temperature increases were commonly positive for plant and animal diversity, as well as plant production, while soil carbon and fertility more commonly exhibit negative abrupt trends. Our work, based on the most comprehensive empirical evidence available so far, reveals the pervasive abrupt responses of biodiversity and ecosystem services to local temperature variations in montane ecosystems worldwide, highlighting the highly sensitive nature of montane ecosystems in the context of climate change.
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