Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40228066›Full record

ArticleCirculation2025

Dose Response of Incidental Physical Activity Against Cardiovascular Events and Mortality.

Emmanuel Stamatakis, Raaj K Biswas, Nicholas A Koemel, Angelo Sabag, Richard Pulsford, Andrew J Atkin, Afroditi Stathi, Sonia Cheng, Cecilie Thøgersen-Ntoumani, Joanna M Blodgett and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  3. Intensity-specific physical activity and mortality in 147,414 adults: a pooled accelerometer analysis.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Emmanuel StamatakisMackenzie Wearables Research Hub, Charles Perkins Centre (E.S., R.K.B., N.A.K., A.S., M.N.A.).ORCID 0000-0001-7323-3225
Raaj K BiswasMackenzie Wearables Research Hub, Charles Perkins Centre (E.S., R.K.B., N.A.K., A.S., M.N.A.).ORCID 0000-0003-4294-6323
Nicholas A KoemelMackenzie Wearables Research Hub, Charles Perkins Centre (E.S., R.K.B., N.A.K., A.S., M.N.A.).ORCID 0000-0002-5463-6894
Angelo SabagMackenzie Wearables Research Hub, Charles Perkins Centre (E.S., R.K.B., N.A.K., A.S., M.N.A.).ORCID 0000-0002-0195-7029
Richard PulsfordPublic Health and Sports Science, Faculty of Health and Life Science, University of Exeter, UK (R.P.).ORCID 0000-0001-6880-7597
Andrew J AtkinSchool of Health Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK (A.J.A.).ORCID 0000-0002-3819-3448
Afroditi StathiSchool of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Birmingham, UK (A.S., C.T.N.).ORCID 0000-0003-2162-777X
Sonia ChengSchool of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, NSW, Australia (E.S., R.K.B., N.A.K., A.S., S.C., M.N.A.).ORCID 0000-0001-7783-6891
Cecilie Thøgersen-NtoumaniSchool of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation Sciences, University of Birmingham, UK (A.S., C.T.N.).ORCID 0000-0003-0255-1263
Joanna M BlodgettInstitute of Sport Exercise and Health, Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, UK (J.M.B., M.H.).ORCID 0000-0001-7684-3571
Adrian BaumanCharles Perkins Centre, School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health (A.B.), University of Sydney, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-0369-4621
Carlos Celis-MoralesSchool of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, UK (C.C.-M, J.M.R.G.).ORCID 0000-0003-2612-3917
Mark HamerInstitute of Sport Exercise and Health, Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, UK (J.M.B., M.H.).ORCID 0000-0002-8726-7992
Jason M R Gill *School of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, UK (C.C.-M, J.M.R.G.).
Matthew N Ahmadi *Mackenzie Wearables Research Hub, Charles Perkins Centre (E.S., R.K.B., N.A.K., A.S., M.N.A.).ORCID 0000-0002-3115-338X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFew middle-aged and older adults engage in regular leisure-time exercise. Incidental physical activity (IPA) encompasses activities of daily living outside the leisure-time domain. No dose-response study is available to guide IPA-focused interventions and guidelines. We examined the associations of device-assessed IPA intensities (vigorous [VIPA], moderate [MIPA], light [LIPA]) with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and mortality, and we estimated the "health equivalence" of LIPA and MIPA against 1 minute of VIPA.

methodsA total of 24 139 nonexercisers from the 2013 to 2015 UK Biobank accelerometry substudy (56.2% women) with a mean±SD age of 61.9±7.6 years were analyzed using a prospective cohort design. IPA energy expenditure and daily durations of VIPA, MIPA, and LIPA were calculated with a validated machine learning-based intensity classifier. MACE included incident stroke, myocardial infarction, and heart failure; CVD death; CVD mortality; and all-cause mortality.

resultsAnalyses included 22 107 (MACE), 22 174 (CVD mortality), and 24 139 (all-cause mortality) participants, corresponding to 908/223/1071 events over 7.9 years of follow-up. IPA volume exhibited an L-shaped association with a nadir at ≈35 to 38 kJ·kg

conclusionsAny daily IPA amount of vigorous or moderate intensity was associated with lower CVD risk in a dose-response manner. LIPA had weak associations with all outcomes. One minute of vigorous or ≈3.0 to 3.5 minutes of moderate IPA was associated with a similar degree of lower CVD risk. Our findings highlight the potential cardiovascular health value of incidental physical activity, especially for people who struggle to do structured exercise.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesExerciseAccelerometryAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited Kingdomaccelerometrycardiovascular diseasescohort studiesepidemiologyexercisefitness trackersmachine learningwearable electronic devices

Identifiers

PMID40228066
PMCPMC12002041

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.