Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40227817›Full record

ArticleCancers2025

Exploratory Algorithms to Aid in Risk of Malignancy Prediction for Indeterminate Pulmonary Nodules.

Laurel Jackson, Claire Auger, Nicolette Jeanblanc, Christopher Jacobson, Kinnari Pandya, Susan Gawel, Hita Moudgalya, Akanksha Sharma, Christopher W Seder, Michael J Liptay and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Risk prediction for lung cancer screening: a systematic review and meta-regression.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Leveraging Commercially Available Protein Assays as Biomarkers for Lung Cancer.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Laurel JacksonAbbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, IL 60064, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0491-9079
Claire AugerDepartment of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8287-2982
Nicolette JeanblancAbbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, IL 60064, USA.
Christopher JacobsonAbbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, IL 60064, USA.
Kinnari PandyaAbbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, IL 60064, USA.
Susan GawelAbbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, IL 60064, USA.
Hita MoudgalyaDepartment of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.
Akanksha SharmaDepartment of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.
Christopher W SederDepartment of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4070-1245
Michael J LiptayDepartment of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.
Ramya GaddikeriDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.
Nicole M GeissenDepartment of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7668-4486
Palmi ShahDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2629-2323
Jeffrey A BorgiaDepartment of Anatomy and Cell Biology, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612, USA.
Gerard J DavisAbbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, IL 60064, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4149-1999

Funding

Abbott Diagnostics Division, Abbott Laboratories NASwim Across America Foundation NA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesLung cancer screening can reduce patient mortality. Multiple issues persist including timely management of patients with a radiologically defined indeterminate pulmonary nodule (IPN), which carries unknown pathological significance. This pilot study focused on combining demographic, clinical, radiographic, and common circulating biomarkers for their ability to aid in IPN risk of malignancy prediction.

methodsA case-control cohort consisting of 379 patients with IPNs (251 stage I lung tumors and 128 nonmalignant nodules) was used for this effort, divided into training (70%) and testing (30%) sets. Demographic variables (age, sex, race, ethnicity), radiographic information (nodule size and location), smoking pack-years, and plasma biomarker levels of CA-125, SCC, CEA, HE4, ProGRP, NSE, Cyfra 21-1, IL-6, PlGF, sFlt-1, hs-CRP, Ferritin, IgG, IgE, IgM, IgA, and Kappa and Lambda Free Light Chains were assessed for this purpose.

resultsMultivariable analyses of biomarker, demographic, and radiographic variables yielded a model consisting of age, lesion size, pack-years, history of extrathoracic cancer, upper lobe location, spiculation, hs-CRP, NSE, Ferritin, and CA-125 (AUC = 0.872 in training, 0.842 in testing) with superior performance over the Mayo Score model, which consists of age, lesion size, history of smoking, history of extrathoracic cancer, upper lobe location, and spiculation (AUC = 0.816 in training, 0.787 in testing).

conclusionsIn conclusion, a simple reduced algorithm consisting of biomarkers, clinical information, and demographic variables may have value for malignancy prediction of screen-detected IPNs. Upon further validation, this method stands to reduce the need for serial radiographic studies and the risks of diagnostic delay.

Indexed as

algorithmcirculating biomarkersindeterminate pulmonary noduleslow-dose CT radiographylung cancer screeningrisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID40227817
PMCPMC11988104

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.