Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40224176›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2025

Forecasting cancer incidence and prevalence using age-period-cohort and survivorship models: a practical, flexible, and interpretable framework.

Ana F Best, Adalberto M Filho, Philip S Rosenberg

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Ana F BestDivision of Cancer Treatment and Diagnosis, Biometric Research Program, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, United States.
Adalberto M FilhoThe International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), Lyon, France.
Philip S RosenbergDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, United States.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Age-period-cohort (APC) model outputs have been used extensively to produce forecasts of cancer incidence, identify emerging public health concerns, and quantify the impact of potential interventions. However, these models have not been extended to forecast cancer

Indexed as

age period cohortbreast cancercancer incidencecancer prevalenceestrogen receptorforecastingjoinpoint

Identifiers

PMID40224176
PMCPMC11985450

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.