Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40223578›Full record

ArticleBJU international2025

Long-term outcomes of active surveillance for Grade Group 1 prostate cancer and the impact of the use of MRI on overtreatment.

Ivo I de Vos, Cristina Marenghi, Fabio Badenchini, Egbert R Boevé, Francisco Lozano-Uruñuela, Markus Graefen, Antti S Rannikko, Frederic Staerman, Mikio Sugimoto, Takuma Kato and 6 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BJU international, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Ivo I de VosDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9000-7457
Cristina MarenghiFondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Fabio BadenchiniFondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Egbert R BoevéDepartment of Urology, Sint Franciscus Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Francisco Lozano-UruñuelaDepartment of Urology, Hospital Universitario de Navarra, Pamplona, Spain.
Markus GraefenDepartment of Urology, Martini Klinik, Hamburg, Germany.
Antti S RannikkoHelsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4261-3484
Frederic StaermanDepartment of Urology, Polyclinique Reims-Bezannes, Bezannes, France.
Mikio SugimotoDepartment of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Kagawa, Japan.
Takuma KatoDepartment of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, Kagawa University, Kagawa, Japan.
Diederik M SomfordDepartment of Urology, Canisius Wilhelmina Hospital, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5277-6586
Mark FrydenbergDepartment of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Chris H BangmaDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Sebastiaan RemmersDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9530-6448
Monique J RoobolDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6967-1708
Prostate Cancer Research International: Active Surveillance (PRIAS) consortium

Funding

Stichting Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek Prostaatkanker
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo present the long-term outcomes of men with Grade Group (GG) 1 prostate cancer (PCa), included in the Prostate Cancer Research International Active Surveillance (PRIAS) study, and to assess the effect of the inclusion of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) within the active surveillance (AS) protocol. PATIENTS AND

methodsThe PRIAS study is a multicentre, prospective, web-based cohort study monitoring patients on AS. In total, 8910 men with GG1 PCa were followed in 169 centres worldwide. The cumulative incidences of definitive treatment, metastasis and PCa-specific mortality (PCSM) were estimated using competing risk analyses. Additionally, multivariable analysis was performed to assess the risk of reclassification, stratified by MRI performed around the time of diagnosis.

resultsThe cumulative incidence of definitive treatment 15 years post-diagnosis was 55% (95% confidence interval [CI] 53-57). For metastasis, the 15-year cumulative incidence was 2.7% (95% CI 1.5-4.4). Eight men of died from PCa, resulting in a 15-year cumulative PCSM incidence of 0.23% (95% CI 0.09-0.54). Compared to men with no MRI around the time of diagnosis, those who underwent MRI during the first 18 months of AS were associated with a significantly higher risk of reclassification to ≥GG2, while men with a positive MRI before diagnosis were associated with a higher risk of reclassification to GG2, but not to ≥GG3. Men with GG2 PCa on MRI-targeted rebiopsy who underwent definitive treatment did not show a statistically significant higher risk of 5-year disease recurrence compared to those who had GG1 PCa on last biopsy during AS.

conclusionsOur study confirms the safety of AS for GG1 PCa, with low metastasis and PCSM rates over 15 years. Furthermore, the inclusion of MRI in AS prompts increased detection of GG2, leading to increased treatment rates despite similar short-term risks. To minimise overtreatment, expanding eligibility for AS and the uptake of AS in men with favourable GG2 PCa is crucial to address the stage shift resulting from the increased accuracy of MRI.

Indexed as

Magnetic Resonance ImagingOvertreatmentProstatic NeoplasmsWatchful WaitingAgedHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingProspective Studiesactive surveillancemagnetic resonance imagingmetastatic diseasemortalityprostatic neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID40223578
PMCPMC12256722

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.