Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40221414›Full record

ArticleNPJ systems biology and applications2025

Quantitative cancer-immunity cycle modeling for predicting disease progression in advanced metastatic colorectal cancer.

Chenghang Li, Yongchang Wei, Jinzhi Lei

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ systems biology and applications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Chenghang LiSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Tiangong University, Tianjin, 300387, China.
Yongchang WeiDepartment of Radiation and Medical Oncology, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China. weiyongchang@whu.edu.cn.
Jinzhi LeiSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Tiangong University, Tianjin, 300387, China. jzlei@tiangong.edu.cn.

Funding

Major Research Plan 12331018
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Patients with advanced metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) typically exhibit significant interindividual differences in treatment responses and face poor survival outcomes. To systematically analyze the heterogeneous tumor progression and recurrence observed in advanced mCRC patients, we developed a quantitative cancer-immunity cycle (QCIC) model. The QCIC model employs differential equations to capture the biological mechanisms underlying the cancer-immunity cycle and predicts tumor evolution dynamics under various treatment strategies through stochastic computational methods. We introduce the treatment response index (TRI) to quantify disease progression in virtual clinical trials and the death probability function (DPF) to estimate overall survival. Additionally, we investigate the impact of predictive biomarkers on survival prognosis in advanced mCRC patients, identifying tumor-infiltrating CD8+ cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) as key predictors of disease progression and the tumor-infiltrating CD4+ Th1/Treg ratio as a significant determinant of survival outcomes. This study presents an approach that bridges the gap between diverse clinical data sources and the generation of virtual patient cohorts, providing valuable insights into interindividual treatment variability and survival forecasting in mCRC patients.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsBiomarkers, TumorDisease ProgressionHumansNeoplasm MetastasisPrognosisBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID40221414
PMCPMC11993626

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.