Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40220471›Full record

ArticleThe Science of the total environment2025

Prevalence of cardiovascular disease risk factors associated with residential natural hazard risk.

Kaitlyn G Lawrence, Marina R Sweeney, Emily J Werder, Casey Zuzak, Melanie Gall, Christopher T Emrich, Ian D Buller, W Braxton Jackson, Dazhe Chen, Kate E Christenbury and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Science of the total environment, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Kaitlyn G LawrenceEpidemiology Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States of America.
Marina R SweeneySocial & Scientific Systems, Inc., a DLH Holdings Company, Durham, NC, United States of America.
Emily J WerderEpidemiology Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States of America.
Casey ZuzakNatural Hazards Risk Assessment Program, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Washington, DC, United States of America.
Melanie GallSchool of Community Resources and Development, Watts College of Public Service and Community Solutions, Arizona State University, United States of America.
Christopher T EmrichNational Center for Integrated Coastal Research, University of Central Florida, FL, United States of America.
Ian D BullerSocial & Scientific Systems, Inc., a DLH Holdings Company, Durham, NC, United States of America.
W Braxton JacksonSocial & Scientific Systems, Inc., a DLH Holdings Company, Durham, NC, United States of America.
Dazhe ChenEpidemiology Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States of America.
Kate E ChristenburySocial & Scientific Systems, Inc., a DLH Holdings Company, Durham, NC, United States of America.
Lawrence S EngelEpidemiology Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States of America; Department of Epidemiology, UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health, NC, United States of America.
Dale P SandlerEpidemiology Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States of America. Electronic address: sandler@niehs.nih.gov.

Funding

Gulf Longitudinal Follow-up (GuLF) Worker StudyZIAES102945 · NIEHS · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SANDLER, DALE P · 2010 to 2025
$15.3M
Intramural NIH HHS ZIA ES102945
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSpecific natural hazards are associated with increased chronic disease risk. Less is known about the impact of living in regions with elevated natural hazards risk.

objectiveWe evaluated cross-sectional associations between predicted residential natural hazard risk and CVD-related risk factors.

methodsWe used data from the Gulf Long-term Follow-up Study, a prospective cohort enrolled following the Deepwater Horizon disaster (N = 32,608). We evaluated diabetes prevalence among 29,714 participants who provided enrollment data on self-reported physician diagnosis of diabetes. In separate analyses, we evaluated obesity and hypertension using data from 10,727 home visit participants with measured height, weight, and blood pressure. We linked geocoded residential enrollment and home visit addresses to the National Risk Index (NRI, 1960-2020), a monetized risk score that quantifies overall and hazard-specific risk at the census-tract level. Modified Poisson regression estimated prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between quartiles of overall and natural hazard-specific risks and prevalence of diabetes, hypertension (systolic/diastolic blood pressure ≥ 140/90 mmHg or antihypertensive medication use), and obesity (BMI ≥ 30.0 kg/m

resultsThe highest quartile of overall NRI was associated with hypertension (Q4 vs. Q1 PR:1.16[1.09,1.24]) but not diabetes or obesity. All quartiles of hurricane risk were associated with higher diabetes prevalence (PR1.33 to 1.36). Increasing quartiles of heatwave risk were associated with increasing prevalence of diabetes, hypertension, and obesity, with PRs 1.23[1.09,1.38], 1.12[1.04,1.19] and 1.09[1.03,1.16] for Q4 vs. Q1, respectively.

conclusionResiding in areas prone to natural disasters is associated with higher prevalence of key cardiovascular disease risk factors.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesEnvironmental ExposureNatural DisastersAdultCohort StudiesCross-Sectional StudiesDiabetes MellitusEnvironmental Restoration and RemediationFemaleFloodsFollow-Up StudiesHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedObesityCardiovascular disease risk factorsDiabetesEnvironmental epidemiologyHypertensionNatural hazardsObesity

Identifiers

PMID40220471
PMCPMC12038901

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.