Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40212002›Full record

ArticleHuman vaccines & immunotherapeutics2025

The effects of human papillomavirus vaccination in Japan.

Wongyeong Choi, Eunha Shim

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Wongyeong ChoiDepartment of Mathematics, Soongsil University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Eunha ShimDepartment of Mathematics, Soongsil University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-3135-6360

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a prevalent virus responsible for nearly all cervical cancer cases, a major health issue worldwide, including in Japan. With over 12,000 cases of cervical cancer and 4,213 related deaths annually in Japan, effective prevention through vaccination is essential. The 9-valent HPV (9vHPV) vaccine provides broader protection against high-risk HPV types (HPV-31, -33, -45, -52, -58) compared to the bivalent and quadrivalent (4vHPV) vaccines. This study evaluates the public health impact of both girls-only and gender-neutral vaccination strategies using 9vHPV and 4vHPV vaccines in Japan. A dynamic transmission model, calibrated with Japanese population data, was used to project cervical cancer and genital wart outcomes over 100 years. Vaccination scenarios included no vaccination, girls-only and gender-neutral vaccination with both 4vHPV and 9vHPV vaccines. Results show that switching to the 9vHPV vaccine significantly reduces cervical cancer incidence and mortality compared to 4vHPV, particularly in gender-neutral strategies. The 9vHPV vaccine was projected to prevent an additional 857,549 cases of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2/3) and 43,799 cervical cancer deaths in a girls-only vaccination strategy compared to the 4vHPV vaccine, over a 100-y period. Gender-neutral vaccination with the 9vHPV further amplifies these benefits, with a faster reduction in HPV-related diseases for both genders. Even under conservative assumptions of 20-y vaccine protection, 9vHPV outperformed 4vHPV in all scenarios. These findings support switching to the 9vHPV vaccine and expanding the National Immunization Program to include boys to achieve long-term HPV control, reduce HPV-related cancers, and improve public health outcomes in Japan.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical NeoplasmsVaccinationAdolescentAdultAgedChildCondylomata AcuminataFemaleHuman Papillomavirus VirusesHumansIncidenceJapanMaleMiddle AgedPapillomavirus Vaccines4vHPV9vHPVcervical cancergender-neutral vaccinationHuman papillomavirus vaccineJapanNational immunization Program

Identifiers

PMID40212002
PMCPMC12934179

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.