ArticleUlusal travma ve acil cerrahi dergisi = Turkish journal of trauma & emergency surgery : TJTES2025
Predictive factors at emergency department admission for a complicated course of acute pancreatitis.
Article in Ulusal travma ve acil cerrahi dergisi = Turkish journal of trauma & emergency surgery : TJTES, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundAcute pancreatitis (AP) is a condition frequently encountered by emergency department (ED) physicians, presenting with a spectrum of severity ranging from a mild, uncomplicated form to a severe, potentially fatal one. This study aimed to identify ED admission parameters that could predict a complicated disease course in patients with AP.
methodsPatients consecutively diagnosed with AP between 2010 and 2018 were included in the study and categorized into complicated and uncomplicated AP groups based on disease progression. Various clinical and laboratory characteristics at ED admission were compared between the two groups, and independent risk factors for complicated AP were identified. Complicated AP was de-fined as the development of any of the following during hospitalization: death, severe disease, necrosis, late peripancreatic or vascular complications, and pancreatic/peripancreatic or major extrapancreatic infections.
resultsOf the 511 patients included in the study, 74 (14.5%) were classified into the complicated AP group. At ED admission, recurrent AP, alcoholic etiology, pleural effusion, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, and calcium levels were identified as independent risk factors for complicated AP. The area under the curve for the combination of these five predictors for complicated AP was 0.857 (95% confidence interval: 0.810-0.904), significantly higher than that of existing scoring systems.
conclusionUsing five simple parameters, the development of complicated AP was successfully predicted. These parameters should be considered in the development of new scoring systems to identify patients at risk for clinically severe outcomes in AP.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.