ArticleNature communications2025
The overlapping global distribution of dengue, chikungunya, Zika and yellow fever.
Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 98 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
98 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Forgotten in the tropics: research on Culex mosquitoes is overshadowed in malaria and dengue-endemic regions.Parasites & vectors · 2026Pooled it
- Systematic review of Aedes aegypti control trials suggests publication bias related to author disclosure of conflicts of interest.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Pooled it
- From vaccine availability to effective deployment: Closing the arboviral vaccine access gap.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2026Article
- Revisiting Animal Reservoirs of Hantavirus and Other Zoonotic Viruses Associated with Cruise Travel: Impact and Prevention.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2026Review
- Evaluation of the NovaplexInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2026Article
- Arbovirus co-circulation and epidemiological convergence in a changing climate: challenges for surveillance, diagnosis and public health preparedness.Brazilian journal of microbiology : [publication of the Brazilian Society for Microbiology] · 2026Review
- A Review on Ylang-Ylang (Molecules (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Endothelial Collapse as a Convergent Immunovascular Phenotype in Sepsis and Severe Arboviral Disease: The SIMVAC Model.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Article
- Mitochondrial phylogeography and insecticide resistance of Aedes aegypti in Kenya.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Chemical Composition and Biological Activities of Croton sertanejus Essential Oil Against Aedes aegypti and Preliminary Toxicity in Mus Musculus.Chemistry & biodiversity · 2026Article
- Research Advances and Future Perspectives of Point-of-Care Detection Technologies and Biosensors for Mosquito-Borne Viruses.Biosensors · 2026Review
- Arboviral infections of the central nervous system: Mechanisms of invasion and long-term consequences.Journal of neurovirology · 2026Review
- Alignment-freeJournal of clinical microbiology · 2026Article
- Cross-Family Mechanistic Analysis of Plant Alkaloids Against Neglected Arboviruses and Related RNA Viruses.Molecules (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Quantifying, Understanding, and Correcting for Delays in Routine Dengue Case Reporting in the Americas.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2026Article
- Study of the circulation of dengue, yellow fever, and West Nile viruses in Guinea: implications for achieving the health objectives of the Simandou 2040 program.Tropical medicine and health · 2026Article
- Productive Mayaro Virus Infection Requires Host Fatty Acid Synthase for nsP1 S-palmitoylation.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Research progress on the association between viruses and cardiac diseases.Journal of virology · 2026Review
- Computational discovery of DENV-3 RdRp allosteric inhibitors: biological evaluation and mechanistic studies.Molecular diversity · 2026Article
38 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
22 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Arboviruses transmitted mainly by Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti and Ae. albopictus, including dengue, chikungunya, and Zika viruses, and yellow fever virus in urban settings, pose an escalating global threat. Existing risk maps, often hampered by surveillance biases, may underestimate or misrepresent the true distribution of these diseases and do not incorporate epidemiological similarities despite shared vector species. We address this by generating new global environmental suitability maps for Aedes-borne arboviruses using a multi-disease ecological niche model with a nested surveillance model fit to a dataset of over 21,000 occurrence points. This reveals a convergence in suitability around a common global distribution with recent spread of chikungunya and Zika closely aligning with areas suitable for dengue. We estimate that 5.66 (95% confidence interval 5.64-5.68) billion people live in areas suitable for dengue, chikungunya and Zika and 1.54 (1.53-1.54) billion people for yellow fever. We find large national and subnational differences in surveillance capabilities with higher income more accessible areas more likely to detect, diagnose and report viral diseases, which may have led to overestimation of risk in the United States and Europe. When combined with estimates of uncertainty, these suitability maps can be used by ministries of health to target limited surveillance and intervention resources in new strategies against these emerging threats.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.