Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40210652›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Frequent land-ocean transboundary migration of tropical heatwaves under climate change.

Xihui Gu, Zaiming Jiang, Yansong Guan, Ming Luo, Jianfeng Li, Lunche Wang, Xiang Zhang, Dongdong Kong, Liangyi Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Xihui GuState Key Laboratory of Geomicrobiology and Environmental Changes, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7414-5371
Zaiming JiangDepartment of Atmospheric Science, School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.
Yansong GuanState Key Laboratory of Geomicrobiology and Environmental Changes, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China. DRmaster@cug.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0048-6253
Ming LuoGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Geo-Simulation, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5474-3892
Jianfeng LiDepartment of Geography and Resource Management, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Central Ave, Hong Kong, China.
Lunche WangState Key Laboratory of Geomicrobiology and Environmental Changes, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China. wang@cug.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7783-5725
Xiang ZhangNational Engineering Research Center of Geographic Information System, School of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.
Dongdong KongDepartment of Atmospheric Science, School of Environmental Studies, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.
Liangyi WangDepartment of Geography, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8675-4019

Funding

Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China (Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology) 2023YFE0103900Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China (Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology) 2023YFF0807000National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42371041National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42461144214National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) U2340230
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Anthropogenic warming has exacerbated atmospheric heatwaves globally, yet the transboundary migration of heatwaves between land and ocean, along with the anthropogenic influence on this process, remain unclear. Here, we employ a Lagrangian tracking approach to identify and track spatiotemporally contiguous warm-season heatwaves in both reanalyses and simulations. This way, we show that land-ocean transboundary heatwaves, especially in the tropics, exhibit longer persistence, wider areal extent, and greater intensity than those confined to land or ocean. These transboundary migrations are primarily driven by the movement of high-pressure systems (such as the westward extension of subtropical highs) and the propagation of Rossby waves. Associated with increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, the frequency of tropical heatwave migrations has increased over the past four decades, and is projected to accelerate further in the twenty-first century under the high-emissions scenario. Anthropogenically-driven landward migrations are amplified by stronger landward winds that drive heat advection, while oceanward processes are likely intensified by increased land-ocean temperature gradient. These intensified transboundary heatwaves not only accentuate humid heat risks for humans but also threaten ecosystems.

Identifiers

PMID40210652
PMCPMC11985508

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.