Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40209158›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2025

Cost-effectiveness analysis of alternative infant and neonatal rotavirus vaccination schedules in Malawi.

Catherine Wenger, Ernest O Asare, Jiye Kwon, Xiao Li, Edson Mwinjiwa, Jobiba Chinkhumba, Khuzwayo C Jere, Daniel Hungerford, Nigel A Cunliffe, A David Paltiel and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Catherine WengerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-5564-0630
Ernest O AsareDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4078-8755
Jiye KwonDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2707-3547
Xiao LiPublic Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1918-1791
Edson MwinjiwaNIHR Global Health Research Group on Gastrointestinal Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1717-0228
Jobiba ChinkhumbaDepartment of Health Systems and Policy, School of Global and Public Health, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1921-619X
Khuzwayo C JereNIHR Global Health Research Group on Gastrointestinal Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3376-8529
Daniel HungerfordNIHR Global Health Research Group on Gastrointestinal Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9770-0163
Nigel A CunliffeNIHR Global Health Research Group on Gastrointestinal Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5449-4988
A David PaltielPublic Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4861-3290
Virginia E PitzerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1015-2289

Funding

Modeling the impact and cost-effectiveness of next-generation rotavirus vaccine strategies in low- and middle-income countriesR01AI112970 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI PITZER, VIRGINIA E · 2015 to 2024
$4.1M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI112970Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rotavirus is the leading cause of severe diarrhea among children under five worldwide, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Although vaccination is the best strategy to prevent rotavirus, obstacles leading to poor vaccine effectiveness undermine its impact in LMICs. This study aimed to identify the optimal rotavirus vaccination strategy for Malawi by modeling vaccine impact and cost-effectiveness, comparing the current two-dose Rotarix vaccine schedule to two alternative vaccine delivery schedules and a next-generation neonatal vaccine (RV3-BB) from 2025-2034. The cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccine strategies in Malawi was evaluated from the government and societal perspectives using estimates of moderate-to-severe and non-severe rotavirus cases derived from a transmission dynamic model of rotavirus and published estimates of health-seeking behaviors and costs as inputs. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to evaluate the robustness of our results to parameter uncertainty. Over a ten-year time horizon, the current two-dose Rotarix strategy is predicted to avert over 1.5 million cases and 90,000 disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) compared to no vaccination and is cost-effective at willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds above $105 per DALY averted from the government perspective. Adding a third dose at 14 weeks could avert an additional 1 million cases and 38,000 DALYs, while switching to the neonatal RV3-BB vaccine could avert 1.1 million cases and 41,000 DALYs compared to the current strategy. Whereas adding a third dose of Rotarix would cost $4.1-4.9 million, switching to the neonatal vaccine is expected to save $3.7 million compared to the current strategy. Considering the neonatal vaccine is not yet available, adding a third dose of Rotarix at 14 weeks of age is cost-effective at WTP thresholds above $138 per DALY averted. The neonatal vaccine offers a more cost-effective alternative to Malawi's current rotavirus vaccine, while adding a third dose to the current strategy also provides substantial benefits.

Identifiers

PMID40209158
PMCPMC11984971

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.