Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40209071›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2025

Misclassification of malaria as pneumonia in children in sub-Saharan Africa.

Christian Bottomley, Alice Kamau, Juliet O Awori, Amanda J Driscoll, Daniel E Park, Samba O Sow, Milagritos D Tapia, Karen L Kotloff, Bernard E Ebruke, Martin Antonio and 3 more

Abstract read
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Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Christian BottomleyInternational Statistics and Epidemiology Group, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5241-8412
Alice KamauKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0001-9846-5372
Juliet O AworiKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Amanda J DriscollCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, United States.
Daniel E ParkDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, The George Washington University, Washington, DC, United States.
Samba O SowCentre pour le Développement des Vaccins, Bamako, Mali.
Milagritos D TapiaCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-6476-3934
Karen L KotloffCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, United States.
Bernard E EbrukeMRC Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia.
Martin AntonioMRC Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia.
Stephen R C HowieMRC Unit The Gambia at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Fajara, The Gambia.
Richard J HayesInternational Statistics and Epidemiology Group, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
J Anthony G ScottDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology and International Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1084309International Vaccine Access Center, Department of International HealthJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe World Health Organization (WHO) clinical case definitions for pneumonia were designed to prioritize sensitivity over specificity. In sub-Saharan Africa, the disease that is most likely to be misclassified as pneumonia is Plasmodium falciparum malaria.

methodsBy using chest X-ray positivity as an indicator for pneumonia, we estimated the extent of pneumonia misclassification due to malaria in the Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health (PERCH) study. Additionally, we developed a simple model to predict the proportion of pneumonia cases as defined by the WHO that could be attributed to malaria in settings with varying levels of malaria parasitaemia prevalence.

resultsIn the PERCH study, the prevalence of malaria parasitaemia was low (4.7% among WHO pneumonia cases and 1.4% among controls) and we estimate that only 2.5% of WHO pneumonia cases were misclassified. However, when assuming a prevalence of malaria parasitaemia of 24%, corresponding to the average for malaria-endemic areas in Africa, we estimate that 28% of WHO pneumonia cases are misclassified. Among malaria-slide-positive WHO pneumonia cases in PERCH, lower chest wall indrawing [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) =18.1, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.9, 175.8, P = 0.012], crackles on chest auscultation (aOR = 13.1, 95% CI: 1.4, 127.4, P = 0.027), and nasal flaring (aOR = 5.9, 95% CI: 1.1, 32.8, P = 0.041) were associated with chest X-ray positivity.

conclusionIn settings that are typical of sub-Saharan Africa, we predict that one-quarter of WHO-defined pneumonia cases are malaria rather than pneumonia. Among children with WHO pneumonia who also test positive for malaria parasitaemia, clinical features that favour pneumonia include lower chest wall indrawing, nasal flaring, and crackles on chest auscultation.

Indexed as

Malaria, FalciparumPneumoniaAfrica South of the SaharaChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleParasitemiaPrevalenceWorld Health Organizationmalariamisclassificationpneumonia

Identifiers

PMID40209071
PMCPMC11984459

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.