ArticleThe Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism2025
Prediabetes and Risk of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality: A Prospective Study of 114 062 Adults in Mexico City.
Article in The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Uric Acid-to-HDL Cholesterol Ratio Is Associated with Prediabetes and an Adverse Metabolic Profile: Results from the Genetics of Atherosclerotic Disease (GEA) Study.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- The Natural History of Prediabetes and Cardiovascular Disease in the Pediatric Population.Biomedicines · 2026Review
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Abstract
backgroundPrediabetes has been associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. However, no large-scale studies have been conducted in Mexico or Latin America examining these associations.
methodsWe analyzed data from 114 062 adults without diabetes (diagnosed or undiagnosed) from the Mexico City Prospective Study. Participants were followed until January 1, 2021, for cause-specific mortality. We defined prediabetes according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA; HbA1c ≥ 5.7% to <6.5%) and the International Expert Committee (IEC; HbA1c ≥ 6.0 to <6.5%) definitions. Cox regression adjusted for confounders was used to estimate all-cause and cause-specific mortality rate ratios (RR) for deaths occurring at ages 35 to 74 years associated with prediabetes.
resultsAfter median 18.4 (IQR 17.6-19.7) years of follow-up, individuals with prediabetes had higher risk of all-cause mortality at ages 35 to 74 compared to those without prediabetes (RR 1.13 [1.07-1.20] for ADA-defined and 1.27 [1.17-1.38] for IEC-defined prediabetes), as well as higher risk of cardiovascular (RR 1.23 [1.11-1.37] and 1.44 [1.24-1.67], respectively), renal (RR 1.33 [1.06-1.66] and 1.62 [1.18-2.23], respectively), and acute diabetic deaths (RR 2.62 [1.75-3.93] and 3.42 [2.09-5.61], respectively). The absolute excess risk associated with ADA-defined prediabetes at ages 35 to 74 accounted for 7% of cardiovascular, 9% of renal, and 31% of acute diabetic deaths. IEC-defined prediabetes accounted for 4%, 5% and 14% of cardiovascular, renal, and acute diabetic deaths. Prediabetes-associated excess mortality risks were, at least in part, explained by adiposity.
conclusionPrediabetes is a significant risk factor for all-cause, cardiovascular, renal, and acute diabetic deaths in Mexican adults. Early identification and timely management of prediabetes among individuals at risk of this condition could reduce premature mortality in this population.
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