Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40207198›Full record

ArticleGastroenterology report2025

Trends in pancreatic cancer incidence, prevalence, and survival outcomes by histological subtypes: a retrospective cohort study.

Sen Lei, Yize Mao, Qiuxia Yang, Honghong Yan, Jun Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gastroenterology report, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. KRAS Inhibition in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.Journal of clinical medicine · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sen LeiDepartment of Pancreatobiliary Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Yize MaoDepartment of Pancreatobiliary Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Qiuxia YangDepartment of Radiology, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Honghong YanDepartment of ICU, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Jun WangDepartment of Pancreatobiliary Surgery, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, Guangdong, P. R. China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is a heterogeneous disease with various histological and molecular subtypes. This study aimed to provide updated epidemiological estimates, survival outcomes, and treatment information for PC based on histological subtypes in the USA. Methods: Data from the US Cancer Statistics and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-17 databases (2000-2020) were used, including adults aged ≥20 years who were diagnosed with PC. The trends of incidence and prevalence by histological types were calculated by using the Joinpoint Regression model. Survival by histological type was analysed by using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests for group comparisons. Results: Overall, the age-adjusted PC incidence per 100,000 increased from 9.54 to 12.05 in SEER-17 and from 9.75 to 12.19 in the US Cancer Statistics between 2001 and 2019. A further SEER-17 study comprised 113,681 PC cases that were sorted by histologic type between 2000 and 2020. The incidence per 100,000 of invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) and invasive mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN) decreased (IPMN from 0.67 to 0.20 and MCN from 0.05 to 0.01) whereas that of other histological subtypes increased. Survival analysis indicated the best outcomes for solid pseudopapillary tumors and the poorest for squamous cell carcinoma. At the localized stage, the proportion of surgery in the treatment modalities varied depending on the biological behavior; the proportion of surgery for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor was the highest and that for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) was the lowest. At the distant metastasis stage, a chemotherapy-based regimen remained the primary treatment of PDAC, pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor, and IPMN. Conclusions: PC incidence and prevalence have been increasing. The incidence of IPMN and MCN decreased whereas that of other subtypes increased. Treatment distribution varies among subtypes and stages.

Indexed as

incidenceJoinpointpancreatic cancerprevalencesurvival

Identifiers

PMID40207198
PMCPMC11981714

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.