Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40204345›Full record

ArticleInjury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention2026

Quantifying rip current-related drowning deaths and exposure on Australian beaches.

Sean Kelly, Jessica Ledger, William Koon, Robert Brander, Amy E Peden, Shane Daw, Jasmin C Lawes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sean KellyScience, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia Sean.kelly@sls.com.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-8518-8148
Jessica LedgerResearch, Surf Life Saving Australia, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
William KoonUNSW Beach Safety Research Group, Kensington, New South Wales, Australia.
Robert BranderSchool of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Amy E PedenUniversity of New South Wales School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6424-1511
Shane DawCoastal Safety, Surf Life Saving Australia, Bondi Beach, New South Wales, Australia.
Jasmin C LawesResearch, Surf Life Saving Australia, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6652-3053

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRip currents are the leading coastal hazard on Australian beaches and a significant contributor to coastal drowning. This comprehensive study explored the long-term epidemiology and exposure-based mortality rates of Australian rip current drowning deaths, with the purpose of informing rip-related education efforts to reduce coastal drowning risk.

methodsA retrospective descriptive analysis of rip current drowning deaths between 1 July 2004 and 30 June 2023 was conducted, and rip current involvement was determined using data triangulation methods (incident narrative, beach imagery and expert opinion). Temporal trends were examined using Joinpoint regression, while Australian population and coastal participation data were used to calculate mortality rates.

results407 rip current drowning deaths were identified (21 deaths/year); an exposure-based mortality rate of 0.11/1 million coastal visits. Incidents predominantly involved males (85%), 20-34 years (38%), occurred in regional/remote areas (59%) and in the presence of others (80%). For every rip current drowning death, an estimated 2449 people were rescued by someone else and 8171 individuals self-rescued. DISCUSSION: Despite small reductions in the rate of rip current drowning among males, little overall progress has been seen in attempts to decrease the mortality burden. Future efforts will require an expanded approach, beyond traditional means.

conclusionsRip currents remain a significant public health threat and the number one coastal hazard contributing to preventable mortality along Australia's coastline. IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: Improved rip current education approaches, development and evaluation are needed to direct effective messaging to at-risk groups.

Indexed as

Bathing BeachesDrowningTidal WavesAdolescentAdultAgedAustraliaChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsDrowningEpidemiologyRisk/Determinants

Identifiers

PMID40204345
PMCPMC13638349

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.