Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40202942›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2025

Trends in malaria prevalence among school-age children in Mainland Tanzania, 2015-2023: A multilevel survey analysis.

Frank Chacky, Joseph T Hicks, Mbaraka John Remiji, Susan F Rumisha, Patrick G T Walker, Prosper Chaki, Sijenunu Aaron, Samwel L Nhiga, Erik Reaves, Naomi Serbantez and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Frank ChackyMinistry of Health, Dodoma, Tanzania.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6521-9156
Joseph T HicksMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4815-8099
Mbaraka John RemijiDepartment of Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Susan F RumishaDepartment of Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Patrick G T WalkerMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Prosper ChakiDepartment of Environmental Health and Ecological Sciences, Ifakara Health Institute, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Sijenunu AaronMinistry of Health, Dodoma, Tanzania.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-0793-3782
Samwel L NhigaMinistry of Health, Dodoma, Tanzania.
Erik ReavesUnited States of America President's Malaria Initiative, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Naomi SerbantezUnited States of America President's Malaria Initiative, United States of America Agency for International Development, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Fabrizio MolteniSwiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Dar-es-salaam, Tanzania.
Billy NgasalaDepartment of Parasitology and Medical Entomology, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Achyut KcDepartment of Parasitology and Medical Entomology, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
Bruno P MmbandoDepartment of Public Health, Biostatistics and ICT, National Institute for Medical Research, Tanga Center, Tanga, Tanzania.
Robert W SnowKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3725-6088
Jean-Pierre Van GeertruydenGlobal Health Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In high-transmission areas, school-aged children have higher malaria prevalence and contribute significantly to the transmission reservoir. Malaria infections can be asymptomatic or present with symptoms which may contribute to anaemia, severe illness and fatal malaria. This analysis provides trends of malaria prevalence and associated risk factors among school-aged children in mainland Tanzania. Data for this analysis were obtained from nationwide school malaria surveillance conducted every other year from 2015 to 2023. A total of 307,999 school children aged 5-16 years old from 850 public primary schools were tested for malaria infection using rapid diagnostic tests, assessed for malaria control intervention coverage and other malaria-related parameters. A multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression model was used to assess associated risk factors. Overall malaria prevalence was 21.6% (95%CI: 21.3-22.0) in 2015 which progressively decreased to 11.8% (95%CI: 11.5-12.0 p <0.001) in 2021 with no significant change in the overall malaria risk between 2021 and 2023 (AOR 1.32, CI: 0.92-1.81, p=0.08). School children aged between 9-12 years and 13-16 years had 20% higher risk of malaria (95% CI: 1.15-1.25) and 21% higher risk of malaria (95% CI: 1.16-1.27), respectively, compared to those aged between 5-8 years. Geographically, children from the Lake zone had the highest odds of prevalence (AOR: 18.75; 95% CI: 12.91-27.23) compared to the Central zone, and sleeping under an insecticide-treated net demonstrated a protective effect (AOR=0.68, 95%CI: 0.64-0.72, p < 0.001). There was a significant decline in the prevalence of malaria infection across the study period. We presented a countrywide active surveillance data, collected over time and in different settings which are unique and seldom presented. We believe various stakeholders will use our findings and join force to combat malaria not just in Tanzania but, in all malaria endemic countries.

Identifiers

PMID40202942
PMCPMC11981166

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.