ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2025
Multi-trait Polygenic Probability Risk Score Enhances Glaucoma Prediction Across Ancestries.
Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) remains the leading cause of irreversible blindness worldwide, with early detection crucial for preventing vision loss. However, current risk assessment methods have limited predictive power. Here, we present a multi-trait polygenic probability risk score (PPRS) approach that integrates multiple glaucoma-related traits and leverages functional genomic annotations to enhance POAG prediction across diverse ancestries. We constructed PRSs for POAG, intraocular pressure (IOP), vertical cup-to-disc ratio (VCDR), and retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness using extensive genomic coverage (>7 million variants) and 96 functional annotations through the SBayesRC method. Validation in the UK Biobank (n=324,713, European ancestry) and Mexican American Glaucoma Genetic Study (MAGGS, n=4,549, Latino ancestry) demonstrated significant improvements in predictive accuracy over conventional approaches. Our multi-trait PPRS achieved area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.814 in Europeans and 0.801 in Latinos, compared to AUC ≤0.79 for single-trait models. We identified ancestry-specific differences in genetic contributions, with IOP demonstrating the strongest association in Europeans (OR=1.63,
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