Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40194873›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2025

Prognostic factors of disability progression in multiple sclerosis in real life: the OFSEP-high definition (OFSEP-HD) prospective cohort in France.

Francis Guillemin, Romain Casey, Jonathan Epstein, Yohann Foucher, David Laplaud, Hamza Achit, Fabien Rollot, Emmanuelle Leray, Sandra Vukusic, OFSEP-HD investigators

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03603457 (OFSEP High Definition Cohort), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03603457 active not recruitingnot on this map

OFSEP High Definition Cohort

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorEDMUS FoundationRan2018 to 2027Enrolled2,842ConditionsMultiple Sclerosis
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Francis GuilleminCHRU, INSERM, Université de Lorraine, CIC Clinical Epidemiology, Nancy, Grand Est, France francis.guillemin@chru-nancy.fr.ORCID 0000-0002-9860-7024
Romain CaseyUniversité de Lyon, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France.
Jonathan EpsteinCHRU, INSERM, Université de Lorraine, CIC Clinical Epidemiology, Nancy, Grand Est, France.
Yohann FoucherCIC 1402 INSERM, CHU de Poitiers, Université de Poitiers, Poitiers, France.
David LaplaudCHU Nantes, Service de Neurologie, CRC-SEP, Nantes Université, INSERM, CIC 1413, Center for Research in Transplantation and Translational Immunology, UMR 1064, F-44000, Nantes, France.
Hamza AchitCHRU, INSERM, Université de Lorraine, CIC Clinical Epidemiology, Nancy, Grand Est, France.
Fabien RollotUniversité de Lyon, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France.
Emmanuelle LerayUniv Rennes, EHESP, CNRS, INSERM, Arènes-UMR 6051, RSMS (Recherche sur les Services et Management en Santé)-U 1309, Rennes, France.
Sandra VukusicUniversité de Lyon, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Lyon, France.
OFSEP-HD investigators

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo determine prognostic factors of disability in multiple sclerosis (MS), that is, (1) identify determinants of the dynamics of disability progression; (2) study the effectiveness of disease-modifying treatments (DMTs); (3) merge determinants and DMTs for creating patient-centred prognostic tools and (4) conduct an economic analysis.

participantsIndividuals registered in the French Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques (OFSEP) database were included in this OFSEP-high definition cohort if they had a diagnosis of MS, were ≥15 years old and had an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score <7. The outcomes will be assessed annually: (1) time to reach irreversible EDSS scores of 4, 6 and 7; (2) relapses and disease progression; (3) MRI-based progression, patient-reported outcomes, social consequences; and (4) combined outcomes on activity and progression. Clinical and quality-of-life data, MRI results and biological (blood, serum) samples will be collected at each follow-up. FINDINGS TO DATE: A cohort of 2842 individuals, 73.4% women, mean (SD) age of 42.7 (11.6) years, median disease duration of 8.8 years, has been recruited from July 2018 to September 2020. The course of MS was relapsing remitting in 67.7%, secondary progressive in 11.9%. The mean annual relapse rate was 0.98. The disease-modifying treatment received was highly effective therapy in 50.3% and moderately effective therapy in 30.7%. FUTURE PLANS: The participants will be followed until December 2026. Disease course up to four landmarks will be examined as predictors of disease progression: (1) diagnosis of MS; (2) relapse activity worsening and independent progression; (3) any recent disease activity and (4) any visit with absence of disease activity in the past 5 years. The marginal effectiveness and tolerability of treatments will be assessed. Stratified algorithms will be proposed for medical decision-making. Economic evaluation of disease cost and cost-effectiveness of new DMTs will be conducted from a public payer perspective. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03603457.

Indexed as

Multiple SclerosisAdultDisability EvaluationDisease ProgressionFemaleFranceHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesQuality of LifeDisabled PersonsMultiple sclerosisPatient Reported Outcome MeasuresPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID40194873
PMCPMC12001352

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.