ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2025
Estimating Heat-Related Mortality Burden Changes under Type-Specific Green and Blue Space Scenarios in China.
Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The Role of Greenness in Heat-Related Mortality: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Annals of global health · 2026Pooled it
- Neighborhood Tree Canopy Coverage and Building Fraction as Modifiers for Heat-related Mortality among Older Adults in Sweden's Largest Urban Areas.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2026Article
- Epidemiologically validated spatial modelling reveals fine-scale heat health risks.Environmental science and ecotechnology · 2026Article
- Invited Perspective: How Do Green- and Bluespaces Reduce Heat-Related Health Risks? Gaining New Insights from Street-View Imagery, Deep Learning Models, and Smartphone Data.Environmental health perspectives · 2026Review
- Street view-derived city built environment and vulnerability to temperature extremes: a nationally representative population-based cohort study.BMC medicine · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
12 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundGreen and blue spaces (GBS) are assumed to mitigate heat-induced health risks. However, few studies have explored the impact of type-specific GBS changes on heat-related mortality burden.
objectivesThis study aimed to investigate the effect modifications of different GBS types on heat-related mortality risks, and to estimate the changes in mortality burden in multiple GBS scenarios.
methodsA case time-series study design was utilized based on the daily data on all-cause mortality and temperatures from 2009 to 2020 in 1,085 subdistricts in China. Mortality count data were obtained from the Zhejiang Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Meteorological data on temperature and relative humidity were acquired from the Zhejiang Meteorological Bureau. GBS exposure was assessed by integrating fine-scale population density, GBS boundary from Baidu and OpenStreetMap, and street-view image data from Baidu. Conditional Poisson regression analyses were conducted with the distributed lag nonlinear model, incorporating modifiers of type-specific GBS exposure. Changes in heat-attributable mortality under different GBS scenarios were also assessed.
resultsHeat-related mortality risks were lower for populations with high exposure (95%) than for those with low exposure (5%) DISCUSSION: Our study revealed differences in the capacity of various GBS types to mitigate heat-related mortality risks. While the protective effects of GBS may be moderate, targeted planning strategies should prioritize their implementation for maximum benefits in mitigating heat-related health risks. The continuous shrinkage of the GBS would render other efforts futile, such as heat-health action plans. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14014.
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