Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40188400›Full record

ArticleDiscover oncology2025

Developing a prognostic nomogram for primary thyroid lymphoma: insights from a large retrospective study.

Ying Gao, Jinmiao Wang, Weijie Tao, Shoujun Wang, Hai Xie, Ran Duan, Jie Hao, Ming Gao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Discover oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ying Gao *Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Tianjin Key Laboratory of General Surgery in Construction, Tianjin Union Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nankai University, No. 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China.
Jinmiao Wang *Department of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Tianjin Key Laboratory of General Surgery in Construction, Tianjin Union Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nankai University, No. 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China.
Weijie TaoDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Tianjin Key Laboratory of General Surgery in Construction, Tianjin Union Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nankai University, No. 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China.
Shoujun WangDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Tianjin Key Laboratory of General Surgery in Construction, Tianjin Union Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nankai University, No. 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China.
Hai XieDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Tianjin Key Laboratory of General Surgery in Construction, Tianjin Union Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nankai University, No. 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China.
Ran DuanDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Tianjin Key Laboratory of General Surgery in Construction, Tianjin Union Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nankai University, No. 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China.
Jie HaoDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Tianjin Key Laboratory of General Surgery in Construction, Tianjin Union Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nankai University, No. 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China. haojie1215@126.com.
Ming GaoDepartment of Breast and Thyroid Surgery, Tianjin Key Laboratory of General Surgery in Construction, Tianjin Union Medical Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nankai University, No. 190 Jieyuan Road, Hongqiao District, Tianjin, 300121, China. gaomingtmu@163.com.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82372753Tianjin Education Commission key project 2023YXZD05Tianjin Health Research Project TJWJ2022XK024Tianjin health science and technology project TJWJ2024MS020Tianjin Medical Key Discipline (Specialty) Construction Project TJYXZDXK-058BTianjin Municipal Science and Technology Project 21JCZDJC00360
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrimary thyroid lymphoma (PTL) is a rare and aggressive malignancy with a need for more precise prognostication tools due to the limitations of existing staging systems. This study aims to develop a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) rates in PTL patients, addressing the gap in personalized treatment protocols.

methodsWe analyzed 1469 PTL cases. Cox regression analyses were used to identify key prognostic factors and construct a survival prognostic nomogram. The nomogram's performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis. Additionally, a web-based dynamic nomogram was developed to estimate mortality risk for PTL patients.

resultsThe nomogram exhibited high clinical utility and precision as determined by decision curve analysis and ROC curves. Furthermore, a novel risk stratification system was introduced. Kaplan-Meier survival curves illustrated significant differences among various risk groups, reinforcing the nomogram's substantial clinical value in predicting OS for PTL patients (P < 0.0001). SHAP value analysis clarified each variable's specific impact on the outcome.

conclusionsThe nomogram provides a valuable instrument for clinicians to individualize OS predictions for PTL patients, addressing the unmet need for personalized prognostication in this rare malignancy.

Indexed as

Cox regression analysisOverall survivalPrimary thyroid lymphomaPrognostic nomogramSEER database

Identifiers

PMID40188400
PMCPMC11972995

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.