Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40187761›Full record

ArticleBMJ open ophthalmology2025

Multimodal imaging biomarkers for progression from intermediate to advanced age-related macular degeneration (AMD): a 10-year prospective longitudinal cohort study from the University of Colorado AMD registry.

Ramya Gnanaraj, Andres Lisker-Cervantes, Jennifer Patnaik, Vivian Rajeswaren, Nihaal Mehta, William Gange, Anne M Lynch, Alan Palestine, Marc Mathias, Niranjan Manoharan and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open ophthalmology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. SRF and SHRM in nAMD: Retrospective Analysis of Visual Prognosis.Clinical ophthalmology (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Ramya GnanarajDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8559-7963
Andres Lisker-CervantesDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Jennifer PatnaikDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Vivian RajeswarenDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Nihaal MehtaDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
William GangeDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Anne M LynchDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Alan PalestineDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Marc MathiasDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Niranjan ManoharanDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Naresh MandavaDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Talisa E de Carlo ForestDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado, USA talisa.forest@cuanschutz.edu.

Funding

Colorado Clinical and Translational Sciences Institute (CCTSI)UM1TR004399 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI JANINE A HIGGINS, RONALD J. SOKOL · 2023 to 2026
$30.7M
Biomarkers of Systemic Inflammation in Intermediate Age-Related Macular DegenerationR01EY032456 · NEI · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI LYNCH, ANNE M. · 2021 to 2024
$1.6M
NCATS NIH HHS UM1 TR004399NEI NIH HHS R01 EY032456
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo evaluate multimodal imaging (MMI) biomarkers for predicting progression from intermediate to advanced age-related macular degeneration (AMD). METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This prospective longitudinal cohort study included patients with intermediate AMD (iAMD) enrolled in the University of Colorado AMD registry between July 2014 and August 2023, with follow-up through February 2024. At enrolment, patients' medical histories and MMI were collected. Baseline and follow-up imaging were reviewed for progression to geographic atrophy (GA) and neovascular AMD (nAMD). Univariate and multivariable Cox proportional hazard modelling with competing risks to determine HRs for progression.

resultsA total of 367 patients (733 eyes) with iAMD were included in the study, with a median follow-up of 27.8 months. During this period, 100 eyes progressed to GA, 58 to nAMD. Adjusted for age, BMI and hypertension, progression to nAMD was significantly associated with soft drusen (HR 5.31, 95% CI 1.95 to 14.4, p=0.001), pigmentary changes (HR 2.74, 95% CI 1.52 to 4.92, p=0.0008) on colour fundus photography (CFP) and subretinal hyper-reflective material (SHRM) (HR 3.36, 95% CI 1.88 to 6.02, p<0.0001) and intraretinal hyper-reflective foci (IHRF) (HR 3.12, 95% CI 1.74 to 5.57, p=0.0001) on optical coherence tomography (OCT). Adjusted for age, progression to GA was predicted by soft drusen (HR 1.90, 95% CI 1.11 to 3.27, p=0.020), drusenoid pigment epithelial detachment (PED) (HR 5.51, 95% CI 2.49 to 12.2, p<0.0001), avascular non-drusenoid PED (HR 6.59, 95% CI 1.54 to 28.1, p=0.011), pigmentary changes (HR 4.44, 95% CI 2.84 to 6.96, p<0.0001) on CFP and nnSRF (HR 6.41, 95% CI 1.39 to 29.6, p=0.017), SHRM (HR 2.55, 95% CI 1.45 to 4.49, p=0.001), drusenoid PED (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.43 to 3.55, p=0.0005), avascular non-drusenoid PED (HR 4.67, 95% CI 2.45 to 8.92, p<0.0001), IHRF (HR 6.27, 95% CI 3.89 to 10.1, p<0.0001) and incomplete retinal pigment epithelium and outer retinal atrophy (HR 9.42, 95% CI 5.82 to 15.2, p<0.0001) on OCT (table 3).

conclusionsKey imaging biomarkers associated with the progression were identified, which may offer prognostic information for providers. However, the study is limited by its predominantly Caucasian population and single-centre design, which may affect the generalisability of certain biomarkers.

Indexed as

Fluorescein AngiographyGeographic AtrophyMultimodal ImagingRegistriesTomography, Optical CoherenceWet Macular DegenerationAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersColoradoDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesFundus OculiHumansLongitudinal StudiesBiomarkersEpidemiologyImagingMaculaMacular DegenerationRetina

Identifiers

PMID40187761
PMCPMC11973788

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.