Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40187431›Full record

Trial reportJournal of affective disorders2025

Prediction of remission of pharmacologically treated psychotic depression: A machine learning approach.

Emily Carter, Samprit Banerjee, George S Alexopoulos, Kathleen S Bingham, Patricia Marino, Barnett S Meyers, Benoit H Mulsant, Nicholas H Neufeld, Anthony J Rothschild, Aristotle N Voineskos and 3 more

Abstract readClinical Trial, Phase IVMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of affective disorders, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Emily CarterDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, USA.
Samprit BanerjeeDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, USA; Department of Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Institute of Geriatric Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, USA.
George S AlexopoulosDepartment of Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Institute of Geriatric Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, USA.
Kathleen S BinghamDepartment of Psychiatry, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Canada; Centre for Mental Health, University Health Network, Toronto, Canada.
Patricia MarinoDepartment of Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Institute of Geriatric Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, USA.
Barnett S MeyersDepartment of Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Institute of Geriatric Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, USA.
Benoit H MulsantDepartment of Psychiatry, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Canada; Campbell Family Mental Health Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Canada.
Nicholas H NeufeldDepartment of Psychiatry, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Canada; Campbell Family Mental Health Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Canada.
Anthony J RothschildUniversity of Massachusetts Chan Medical School and UMass Memorial Health Care, Worcester, USA.
Aristotle N VoineskosDepartment of Psychiatry, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Canada; Campbell Family Mental Health Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Canada.
Ellen M WhyteDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine and UPMC Western Psychiatric Hospital, Pittsburgh, USA.
Alastair J FlintDepartment of Psychiatry, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Canada; Centre for Mental Health, University Health Network, Toronto, Canada. Electronic address: alastair.flint@uhn.ca.
STOP-PD II Study Group

Funding

Acute Pharmacotherapy of Psychotic DepressionU01MH062518 · NIMH · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI ALEXOPOULOS, GEORGE S · 2002 to 2015
$5.0M
Acute Pharmacotherapy of Unipolar Psychotic DepressionU01MH062565 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI WHYTE, ELLEN M · 2002 to 2015
$3.0M
Acute Pharmacotherapy of Unipolar Psychotic DepressionU01MH062624 · NIMH · UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS MED SCH WORCESTER · PI ROTHSCHILD, ANTHONY J · 2002 to 2015
$2.9M
Acute Pharmacotherapy of Unipolar Psychotic DepressionU01MH062446 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY HEALTH NETWORK · PI FLINT, ALASTAIR J. · 2002 to 2015
$2.0M
NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH062446NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH062518NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH062565NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH062624
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe combination of antidepressant and antipsychotic medication is an effective treatment for major depressive disorder with psychotic features ('psychotic depression'). The present study aims to identify sociodemographic and clinical predictors of remission of psychotic depression treated with combination pharmacotherapy and determine the accuracy of prediction models.

methodsTwo hundred and sixty-nine participants aged 18 to 85 years with psychotic depression were acutely treated with protocolized sertraline plus olanzapine for up to 12 weeks. Three cross-validated machine learning models were implemented to predict remission based on 74 sociodemographic and clinical variables measured at acute baseline. The optimal model for each method was selected by the average fold C-index. Based on the performance of each method, grouped elastic net (cox) regression was chosen to examine the association of each predictor with remission of psychotic depression.

resultsOf the 269 participants, 145 (53.9 %) experienced full remission of the depressive episode and psychotic features. Multivariable models had 65.1 % to 67.4 % accuracy in predicting remission. In the grouped elastic net (cox) regression model, longer duration of index episode, somatic or tactile hallucinations, higher burden of comorbid physical problems, and single or divorced marital status were independent predictors of longer time to remission. A higher number of lifetime depressive episodes and peripheral vascular or cardiovascular disease were predictors of shorter time to remission.

conclusionsFuture research needs to determine whether the addition of biomarkers to clinical and sociodemographic variables can improve model accuracy in predicting remission of pharmacologically-treated psychotic depression.

Indexed as

Antidepressive AgentsAntipsychotic AgentsMajor Depressive DisorderOlanzapinePredictive Learning ModelsPsychotic DisordersSertralineAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCost of IllnessDrug Therapy, CombinationFemaleHumansMaleAntidepressive AgentsAntipsychotic AgentsOlanzapineSertralineClinical trialMachine learningMajor depressive disorder with psychotic featuresPredictionRemissionTreatment

Identifiers

PMID40187431
PMCPMC13198183

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.