Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40185784›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Secular trends in heat related illness and excess sun exposure rates across climatic zones in the United States from 2017 to 2022.

Marta Pineda-Moncusí, Rabia Ali Khan, Albert Prats-Uribe, Daniel Prieto-Alhambra, Sara Khalid

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Marta Pineda-MoncusíCentre for Statistics in Medicine (CSM), Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences (NDORMS), University of Oxford, Botnar Research Centre, Windmill Road, Oxford, OX3 7LD, UK.
Rabia Ali KhanCentre for Statistics in Medicine (CSM), Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences (NDORMS), University of Oxford, Botnar Research Centre, Windmill Road, Oxford, OX3 7LD, UK. rabia.khan@ndorms.ox.ac.uk.
Albert Prats-UribeCentre for Statistics in Medicine (CSM), Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences (NDORMS), University of Oxford, Botnar Research Centre, Windmill Road, Oxford, OX3 7LD, UK.
Daniel Prieto-AlhambraCentre for Statistics in Medicine (CSM), Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences (NDORMS), University of Oxford, Botnar Research Centre, Windmill Road, Oxford, OX3 7LD, UK.
Sara KhalidCentre for Statistics in Medicine (CSM), Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences (NDORMS), University of Oxford, Botnar Research Centre, Windmill Road, Oxford, OX3 7LD, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Heat waves are a major public health challenge, yet the link between heat-related illness (HRI) and regional climate and geography is underexplored. We examined HRI and excess sun exposure incidence rates (IR) [95% confidence interval (CI) per 100,000 person-years], and their correlation with regional maximum temperatures across 9 US climatic zones 33,603,572 individuals were followed from 2017 to 2022. We observed 10,652 individuals with HRI diagnosis (median age: 49 years, 62.3% male). Seasonal peaks occurred during summer: highest overall IR (130.97 [119.93-142.75]) was recorded in July 2019, highest regional IR was reported in the South (186.04 [117.93-279.15]) during 2020. Strongest correlations between monthly maximum temperature and incidence of HRI were observed in the West (Pearson Correlation Coefficient (cor) = 0.854) and Southwest (cor = 0.832). In contrast, we observed 131,204 individuals with excess sun exposure (predominantly older adults [median age: 67 years], 52.3% female, 30% with history of cancer). Overall IR for sun exposure peaked in March 2021 (664.31 [644.84-684.21]) and lacked a consistent seasonal pattern. Sun exposure exhibited weaker correlations with regional temperatures, even in high-temperature regions like the West (cor = 0.305). These data indicate regional variations in HRI. With distinct at-risk groups for HRI and sun exposure, targeted regional interventions may be beneficial, such as heat safety protocols to reduce HRI risk and sun protection campaigns for older adults to mitigate sun exposure risk.

Indexed as

Heat Stress DisordersHot TemperatureSunlightAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolClimateFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSeasonsClimate changeElectronic health recordsExcess sun exposureGISHealth inequalitiesHeat related illnessHeat stressHeatwavesObservational study

Identifiers

PMID40185784
PMCPMC11971287

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.