Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40181299›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Effect of Covid-19 pandemic on azithromycin, chloroquine/hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin outpatient consumption in Brazil: a joinpoint regression analysis.

Michele Costa Caetano, Isabel Cristina Martins Emmerick, Mônica Rodrigues Campos, Débora Castanehira Pires, Veronika J Wirtz, Vera Lucia Luiza

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Michele Costa CaetanoDivision of Pharmacy, Martagão Gesteira Institute of Childcare and Pediatrics, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, 50 Bruno Lobo Street, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. michelecaetanorj@gmail.com.
Isabel Cristina Martins EmmerickDivision of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, UMass Chan Medical School, University of Massachusetts, 67 Belmont Street, Worcester, MA, USA.
Mônica Rodrigues CamposDepartment of Social Science, Sérgio Arouca National School of Public Health, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, 1480 Leopoldo Bulhões Street, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
Débora Castanehira PiresEvandro Chagas National Institute of Infectious Disease, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, 4365 Avenida Brasil, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
Veronika J WirtzDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, 801 Massachusetts Avenue, Boston, MA, USA.
Vera Lucia LuizaDepartment of Medicines Policy and Pharmaceutical Assistance, Sérgio Arouca National School of Public Health, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, 1480 Leopoldo Bulhões Street, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.

Funding

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior 88887.802584/2023-00
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe endorsement of unproven COVID-19 treatment marked the political bias in Brazil's pandemic response. This study aimed to analyze the trends in the consumption of azithromycin (AZI), chloroquine/ hydroxychloroquine (CQ/HCQ), and ivermectin (IVM) considering COVID-19 cases and key political events.

methodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the weekly outpatient dispensing records of AZI, CQ/HCQ, and IVM from the National Database of Actions and Services of Pharmaceutical Services in SUS (BNAFAR) and the COVID-19 incidence rates from January 2019 to December 2021. A joinpoint regression analysis was employed to assess shifts in COVID-19 incidence rates and AZI, CQ/HCQ, and IVM consumption in outpatients, expressed as Defined Daily Dose per 1,000 inhabitants per day (DID), in Brazil and its five geographical regions taking into consideration the timing of three political events.

resultsThere was a significant increase in AZI, CQ/HCQ, and IVM consumption during the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil of 62.8%, 504.6%, and 525.7%, respectively. Adults and women had higher DID; however, a higher proportional rise was observed among men, especially for CQ/HCQ. A notable increase in the consumption of CQ/HCQ during the first COVID-19 wave, IVM in the second, and AZI in both waves was more pronounced in the South, Midwest, and North of Brazil. This pattern coincided closely with the timeline of COVID-19 incidence rates and showed an upward trend in all three medicines after key political events that endorsed their use, particularly in these three regions. No corresponding downward trend in COVID-19 cases was observed despite the increased use of these medicines. A significant reduction in consumption nationwide was observed after an increase in vaccination coverage, resulting in a DID near pre-pandemic levels.

conclusionThe study provides substantial evidence on the relationship between COVID-19 incidence, political events, and the consumption of AZI, CQ/HCQ, and IVM during the pandemic in Brazil. The findings suggest that consumption trends were aligned with regional political affiliations and the COVID-19 incidence rates. These highlight the importance of political determinants of inappropriate medicine utilization that wastes scarce resources and increases the risk of adverse health outcomes and antimicrobial resistance.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 Drug TreatmentDrug PrescriptionsPandemicsPoliticsAdolescentAdultAgedAzithromycinBrazilChildChild, PreschoolChloroquineDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansAzithromycinChloroquineHydroxychloroquineIvermectinAzithromycinBrazilChloroquineCOVID-19Drug utilizationHealth policyHydroxychloroquineIvermectin

Identifiers

PMID40181299
PMCPMC11966930

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.