Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40180432›Full record

SynthesisBMJ global health2025

Worldwide burden of cervical human papillomavirus (HPV) in women over 50 years with abnormal cytology: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Vanesa Osmani, Michael Rossiter, Lucy Hörner, Theoneste Nkurunziza, Sophia Rank, Luana Fiengo Tanaka, Stefanie J Klug

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMJ global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Vanesa OsmaniChair of Epidemiology, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany vanesa.osmani@tum.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0650-4333
Michael RossiterChair of Epidemiology, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Lucy HörnerChair of Epidemiology, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Theoneste NkurunzizaChair of Epidemiology, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5475-3396
Sophia RankChair of Epidemiology, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Luana Fiengo TanakaChair of Epidemiology, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2086-7491
Stefanie J KlugChair of Epidemiology, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3523-1362

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionMore than half of global cervical cancer cases occur among women older than 50. However, global estimates regarding the human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence among this population are lacking, especially for women with abnormal cytology. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the worldwide HPV prevalence in women aged 50 and older with abnormal cytology.

methodsWe searched PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science for quantitative studies reporting any or high-risk (HR)-HPV prevalence for women 50 years and older with abnormal cytology (atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance and higher). We extracted data on world region, subregion, cervical lesion type, recruitment setting, HPV test, year of study conduct and HPV prevalence from the included studies. We assessed the risk of bias of the included studies using a modified Newcastle-Ottawa scale. We estimated the pooled prevalence and 95% CIs of any-HPV and HR-HPV using random-effects models, considering the world regions. Additionally, we estimated the prevalence by HPV type, lesion type and age groups.

resultsOverall, 113 studies met the inclusion criteria, of which 104 were included in the meta-analysis. Among women aged 50 and older with abnormal cytology, the estimated global pooled prevalence of any-HPV from 53 studies, including 14 585 women, was 54.5% (95%CI, 46.0 to 62.8%), and the HR-HPV prevalence from 85 studies, covering 33 672 women, was 43.0% (95%CI, 36.6 to 49.5%). There was a higher HR-HPV prevalence among women with high-grade lesions and women living in the African continent. No major differences in HR-HPV prevalence between the age groups of women over 50 years were found. The most common single HPV types worldwide were 16 and 52, with pooled prevalence estimates of 12.0% (95%CI, 8.0% to 17.7%) and 8.4% (95%CI, 4.4% to 15.4%), respectively.

conclusionOur findings highlight the relevance of targeted screening interventions among women 50 years and older. To achieve the elimination of cervical cancer, age-inclusive screening strategies should be considered. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42021241365.

Indexed as

Global HealthPapillomavirus InfectionsUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAgedFemaleHuman Papillomavirus VirusesHumansMiddle AgedPapillomaviridaePrevalenceCancerEpidemiologyInfections, diseases, disorders, injuries

Identifiers

PMID40180432
PMCPMC11966958

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.