Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40177214›Full record

ArticlePreventive medicine reports2025

The shifting global landscape of low Back pain attributable to high body mass index: Burden, growth, and inequalities.

Fan Wang, Yisen Yang, Jing Xu, Meiduo Zhao, Hongwei Ma, Qun Xu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Preventive medicine reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. [Analysis of disease burden, attributable risk factors of low back pain in China from 1990 to 2023 and prediction for 2030].Zhongguo xiu fu chong jian wai ke za zhi = Zhongguo xiufu chongjian waike zazhi = Chinese journal of reparative and reconstructive surgery · 2026
    Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Fan WangSchool of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100730, China.
Yisen YangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, School of Basic Medicine Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100005, China.
Jing XuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, School of Basic Medicine Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100005, China.
Meiduo ZhaoDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, School of Basic Medicine Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100005, China.
Hongwei MaDepartment of Rehabilitation Medicine & Department of Pain Medicine, Peking University International Hospital & PKUCare Rehabilitation Hospital, Beijing 102206, China.
Qun XuDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, School of Basic Medicine Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100005, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Low back pain (LBP) is the leading global cause of years lived with disability (YLD), with high body mass index (BMI) recognized as a significant and modifiable risk factor. While prior research has linked high BMI to LBP, comprehensive global assessments of the burden attributable to high BMI are scarce. Methods: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study (1990-2021) to estimate global and regional YLDs of LBP attributable to high BMI, stratified by age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI). The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model projected the future burden to 2050. Results: From 1990 to 2021, global YLDs of LBP attributable to high BMI nearly doubled, reaching 8.4 million (95 % uncertainty interval: 0.8-17.4), with an age-standardized rate of 97.7 per 100,000. Burdens rose across all regions, with the steepest increases in middle- and lower-SDI areas. Women consistently experienced nearly double the burden compared to men. High-income North America had the largest YLD counts, while South Asia showed the fastest growth. YLDs peaked among individuals aged 40-70, with an emerging burden in the 20-40 age group. Projections suggest disproportionate increases in high- and high-middle-SDI regions by 2050. Conclusion: The rising burden of LBP attributable to high BMI underscores the urgent need for targeted public health strategies. Integrating BMI management and musculoskeletal health initiatives into healthcare policies could mitigate LBP-related disability and enhance global population health outcomes.

Indexed as

Body mass indexGlobal burden of diseaseHealth promotionInequalitiesLifestyle and behaviorLow back painPhysical fitness

Identifiers

PMID40177214
PMCPMC11964669

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.