Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40175826›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of bipolar disorders2025

Day-to-day variability in activity levels detects transitions to depressive symptoms in bipolar disorder earlier than changes in sleep and mood.

Abigail Ortiz, Ramzi Halabi, Martin Alda, Alexandra DeShaw, Muhammad I Husain, Abraham Nunes, Claire O'Donovan, Rachel Patterson, Benoit H Mulsant, Arend Hintze

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of bipolar disorders, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Smart Ring in Clinical Medicine: A Systematic Review.Biomimetics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Abigail OrtizDepartment of Psychiatry, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada. Abigail.ortiz@utoronto.ca.
Ramzi HalabiCampbell Family Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Toronto, ON, Canada.
Martin Alda *Department of Psychiatry, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.
Alexandra DeShaw *Department of Psychiatry, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.
Muhammad I Husain *Department of Psychiatry, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Abraham Nunes *Department of Psychiatry, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.
Claire O'Donovan *Department of Psychiatry, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.
Rachel Patterson *Campbell Family Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Toronto, ON, Canada.
Benoit H MulsantDepartment of Psychiatry, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Arend HintzeDepartment of MicroData Analytics, Dalarna University, Dalarna, Sweden.

Funding

Multimodal monitoring and high-dimensional data for episode prediction in bipolar disorderR21MH123849 · NIMH · CENTRE FOR ADDICTION AND MENTAL HEALTH · PI ORTIZ, ABIGAIL · 2021 to 2022
$262k
CIHR 02010PJT-450770-BSB-CEAH-188794Ministerstvo Zdravotnictví Ceské Republiky NU23-04-00534NIH HHS 1R21MH123849-01A1NIMH NIH HHS R21 MH123849
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Anticipating clinical transitions in bipolar disorder (BD) is essential for the development of clinically actionable predictions. Our aim was to determine what is the earliest indicator of the onset of depressive symptoms in BD. We hypothesized that changes in activity would be the earliest indicator of future depressive symptoms. The study was a prospective, observational, contactless study. Participants were 127 outpatients with a primary diagnosis of BD, followed up for 12.6 (5.7) [(mean (SD)] months. They wore a smart ring continuously, which monitored their daily activity and sleep parameters. Participants were also asked to complete weekly self-ratings using the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) and Altman Self-Rating Mania Scale (ASRS) scales. Primary outcome measures were depressive symptom onset detection metrics (i.e., accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity); and detection delay (in days), compared between self-rating scales and wearable data. Depressive symptoms were labeled as two or more consecutive weeks of total PHQ-9 > 10, and data-driven symptom onsets were detected using time-frequency spectral derivative spike detection (TF-SD

Indexed as

ActivityBipolar disorderDensely-sampledMood variabilityOnsetSleepWearable technology

Identifiers

PMID40175826
PMCPMC11965041

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.