Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40175738›Full record

Trial reportNature medicine2025

Real-time surveillance system for patient deterioration: a pragmatic cluster-randomized controlled trial.

Sarah C Rossetti, Patricia C Dykes, Chris Knaplund, Sandy Cho, Jennifer Withall, Graham Lowenthal, David Albers, Rachel Y Lee, Haomiao Jia, Suzanne Bakken and 11 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter StudyPragmatic Clinical TrialRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Nature medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT03911687 (Communicating Narrative Concerns Entered by RNs), which is not on this map. Cited by 31 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03911687 nacompletednot on this map

Communicating Narrative Concerns Entered by RNs (CONCERN) Clinical Decision Support (CDS) System

TypeinterventionalSponsorColumbia UniversityRan2020 to 2022Enrolled60,893ConditionsHospital Acquired ConditionArmsCONCERN CDS system notification
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Sarah C RossettiColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA. sac2125@cumc.columbia.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2632-8867
Patricia C DykesBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Chris KnaplundColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA.
Sandy ChoNewton-Wellesley Hospital, Newton, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-4331-4570
Jennifer WithallColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA.
Graham LowenthalBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
David AlbersColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA.
Rachel Y LeeColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0392-5848
Haomiao JiaColumbia University Irving Medical Center, School of Nursing, New York, NY, USA.
Suzanne BakkenColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA.
Min-Jeoung KangBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Frank Y ChangBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Li ZhouBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
David W BatesBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6268-1540
Temiloluwa DaramolaColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA.
Fang LiuUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Jessica Schwartz-DillardColumbia University Irving Medical Center, School of Nursing, New York, NY, USA.
Mai TranColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-7561-1102
Syed Mohtashim Abbas BokhariColumbia University Irving Medical Center, Department of Biomedical Informatics, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0666-8653
Jennifer ThateSiena College, Loudonville, NY, USA.
Kenrick D CatoUniversity of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

Funding

Reducing Health Disparities Through Informatics - Genomics SupplementT32NR007969 · NINR · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SUZANNE BAKKEN, Rebecca Schnall · 2002 to 2026
$7.9M
Communicating Narrative Concerns Entered by RNs (CONCERN)R01NR016941 · NINR · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Kenrick Dwain Cato, Sarah Collins Rossetti · 2017 to 2026
$6.7M
NINR NIH HHS R01 NR016941NINR NIH HHS T32 NR007969U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute of Nursing Research (NINR) 1R01NR016941U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute of Nursing Research (NINR) T32NR007969
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COmmunicating Narrative Concerns Entered by RNs (CONCERN) early warning system (EWS) uses real-time nursing surveillance documentation patterns in its machine learning algorithm to identify deterioration risk. We conducted a 1-year, multisite, pragmatic trial with cluster-randomization of 74 clinical units (37 intervention; 37 usual care) across 2 health systems. Eligible adult hospital encounters were included. We tested if outcomes differed between patients whose care teams were and patients whose care teams were not informed by the CONCERN EWS. Coprimary outcomes were in-hospital mortality (examined as instantaneous risk) and length of stay. Secondary outcomes were cardiopulmonary arrest, sepsis, unanticipated intensive care unit transfers and 30-day hospital readmission. Among 60,893 hospital encounters (33,024 intervention; 27,869 usual care), intervention group encounters had 35.6% decreased instantaneous risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 0.64; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.53-0.78; P < 0.0001), 11.2% decreased length of stay (adjusted incidence rate ratio, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.90-0.93; P < 0.0001), 7.5% decreased instantaneous risk of sepsis (adjusted HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.86-0.99; P = 0.0317) and 24.9% increased instantaneous risk of unanticipated intensive care unit transfer (adjusted HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.09-1.43; P = 0.0011) compared with usual-care group encounters. No adverse events were reported. A machine learning-based EWS, modeled on nursing surveillance patterns, decreased inpatient deterioration risk with statistical significance. ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT03911687 .

Indexed as

Clinical DeteriorationAdultAgedFemaleHeart ArrestHospital MortalityHumansIntensive Care UnitsLength of StayMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedPatient ReadmissionSepsis

Identifiers

PMID40175738
PMCPMC12818231

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.