Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40173177›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2025

Distribution and transmission of M. tuberculosis in a high-HIV prevalence city in Malawi: A genomic and spatial analysis.

Melanie H Chitwood, Elizabeth L Corbett, Victor Ndhlovu, Benjamin Sobkowiak, Caroline Colijn, Jason R Andrews, Rachael M Burke, Patrick G T Cudahy, Peter J Dodd, Jeffrey W Imai-Eaton and 14 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Genomic epidemiology ofMicrobial genomics · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Melanie H ChitwoodDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9289-5694
Elizabeth L CorbettClinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Victor NdhlovuSchool of Life Sciences and Health Professions, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1606-0959
Benjamin SobkowiakDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1382-1137
Caroline ColijnDepartment of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.
Jason R AndrewsDivision of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5967-251X
Rachael M BurkeClinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2156-5030
Patrick G T CudahyDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4462-9567
Peter J DoddSheffield Centre for Health and Related Research, School of Medicine and Population Health, Sheffield, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5825-9347
Jeffrey W Imai-EatonCenter for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7728-728X
David M EngelthalerTranslational Genomics Research Institute, Flagstaff, Arizona, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5945-059X
Megan FolkertsTranslational Genomics Research Institute, Flagstaff, Arizona, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7430-1701
Helena R A FeaseyPublic Health Group, Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Programme, Blantyre, Malawi.
Yu LanDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0373-1944
Jen LewisSheffield Centre for Health and Related Research, School of Medicine and Population Health, Sheffield, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3765-1566
Jennifer McNicholDepartment of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada.
Nicolas A MenziesCenter for Health Decision Science and Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2571-016X
Geoffrey ChipunguHelse Nord Tuberculosis Initiative, Department of Pathology, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3819-0300
Marriott NliwasaPublic Health Group, Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Programme, Blantyre, Malawi.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3100-5512
Daniel M WeinbergerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1178-8086
Joshua L WarrenDepartment of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6274-6970
Joshua A SalomonDepartment of Health Policy, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3929-5515
Peter MacPhersonClinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0329-9613
Ted CohenDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8091-7198

Funding

Integrating genomic and spatial approaches for targeted control of HIV-associated tuberculosis epidemicsR01AI147854 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI COHEN, THEODORE H, SALOMON, JOSHUA A · 2020 to 2023
$3.1M
Gates Foundation INV-002606Gates Foundation INV-006733NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI147854
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Delays in identifying and treating individuals with infectious tuberculosis (TB) contribute to poor health outcomes and allow ongoing community transmission of M. tuberculosis (Mtb). Current recommendations for screening for tuberculosis specify community characteristics (e.g., areas with high local tuberculosis prevalence) that can be used to target screening within the general population. However, areas of higher tuberculosis burden are not necessarily areas with higher rates of transmission. We investigated the transmission of Mtb using high-resolution surveillance data in Blantyre, Malawi. We extracted and performed whole genome sequencing on mycobacterial DNA from cultured M. tuberculosis isolates obtained from culture-positive tuberculosis cases at the time of tuberculosis (TB) notification in Blantyre, Malawi between 2015-2019. We constructed putative transmission networks identified using TransPhylo and investigated individual and pair-wise demographic, clinical, and spatial factors associated with person-to-person transmission. We found that 56% of individuals with sequenced isolates had a probable transmission link to at least one other individual in the study. We identified thirteen putative transmission networks that included five or more individuals. Five of these networks had a single spatial focus of transmission in the city, and each focus centered in a distinct neighborhood in the city. We also found that approximately two-thirds of inferred transmission links occurred between individuals residing in different geographic zones of the city. While the majority of detected tuberculosis transmission events in Blantyre occurred between people living in different zones, there was evidence of distinct geographical concentration for five transmission networks. These findings suggest that targeted interventions in areas with evidence of localized transmission may be an effective local tactic, but will likely need to be augmented by city-wide interventions to improve case finding to have sustained impact.

Identifiers

PMID40173177
PMCPMC11964229

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.