Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40172694›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging2025

External validation of nomograms including PSMA PET information for the prediction of lymph node involvement of prostate cancer.

Tessa D Van Bergen, Arthur J A T Braat, Rick Hermsen, Joris G Heetman, Lieke Wever, Jules Lavalaye, Maarten Vinken, Clinton D Bahler, Mark Tann, Claudia Kesch and 18 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
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  4. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors.

Tessa D Van BergenComputational Imaging Group for MR Diagnostics and Therapy, Center for Image Sciences, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Arthur J A T BraatDepartment of Nuclear Medicine and Radiology, Division of Imaging and Oncology, University Medical Center, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Rick HermsenDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Canisius Wilhelmina Hospital, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Joris G HeetmanDepartment of Urology, St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Lieke WeverDepartment of Urology, St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Jules LavalayeDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Maarten VinkenDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Canisius Wilhelmina Hospital, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Clinton D BahlerDepartment of Urology, Indiana University Medical Center, Indianapolis, USA.
Mark TannDepartment of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Indiana University Medical Center, Indianapolis, USA.
Claudia KeschDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Essen, Essen German Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Essen, Germany.
Tugce TelliDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, University Hospital Essen, Essen, Germany.
Peter Ka-Fung ChiuS. H. Ho Urology Centre, Department of Surgery, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Kwan Kit WuDepartment of Nuclear Medicine and PET, Hong Kong Sanatorium and Hospital, Hong Kong, China.
Fabio ZattoniDepartment of Surgery, Oncology, and Gastroenterology, Urological Unit, University of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Laura EvangelistaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Pieve Emanuele, Milan, Italy.
Francesco CeciDivision of Nuclear Medicine and Theranostics, IEO European Institute of Oncology, IRCCS, Milan, Italy.
Marcin MiszczykDepartment of Urology, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
Pawel RajwaDepartment of Urology, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
Francesco BarlettaDivision of Oncology/Unit of Urology, Soldera Prostate Cancer Lab, URI, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.
Giorgio GandagliaDivision of Oncology/Unit of Urology, Soldera Prostate Cancer Lab, URI, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.
Jean-Paul A Van BastenDepartment of Urology, Canisius Wilhelmina Hospital, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Matthijs J ScheltemaDepartment of Urology, St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Harm H E Van MelickDepartment of Urology, St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Roderick C N Van den BerghDepartment of Urology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Cornelis A T Van den BergComputational Imaging Group for MR Diagnostics and Therapy, Center for Image Sciences, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Giancarlo MarraDepartment of Urology, University Hospital S Giovanni Battista, Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria Città della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, Turin, Italy.
Timo F W SoeterikDepartment of Urology, St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, Utrecht, The Netherlands. t.soeterik@antoniusziekenhuis.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0259-8750
EAU-YAU Prostate Cancer Working Party

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNovel nomograms predicting lymph node involvement (LNI) of prostate cancer (PCa) including PSMA PET information have been developed. However, their predictive accuracy in external populations is still unclear. PURPOSE: To externally validate four LNI nomograms including PSMA PET parameters (three Muehlematter models and the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney model) as well as the Briganti 2012 and MSKCC nomograms.

methodsPatients with histologically confirmed PCa undergoing preoperative MRI and PSMA PET/CT before radical prostatectomy (RP) and extended pelvic lymph node dissection (ePLND) were included. Model discrimination (AUC), calibration and net benefit using decision curve analysis were determined for each nomogram.

resultsA total of 437 patients were included, comprising 0.7% with low-risk disease, 39.8% with intermediate-risk disease, and 59.5% with high-risk disease. Among them, 86 out of 437 (19.7%) had pN1 disease. The sensitivity and specificity of PSMA PET/CT for the detection of LNI were 47.7% (95% CI: 36.8-58.7) and 95.4% (95% CI: 92.7-97.4), respectively. Among predictive models, the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney model achieved the highest discrimination (AUC: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.76-0.86), followed by Muehlematter Model 1 (AUC: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.74-0.85), both with good calibration but slight systematic overestimation of risks across all thresholds. The MSKCC and Briganti 2012 models had AUCs of 0.68 (95% CI: 0.61-0.74) and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.61-0.73), respectively, and both had moderate calibration. Decision curve analysis indicated that the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney model provided superior net benefit across thresholds of 5-20%, followed by the Muehlematter Model 1 nomogram showing benefit in the 14-20% range. Using thresholds of 8% for the Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomogram and 15% for Muehlematter Model 1, ePLND could be spared in 15% and 16% of patients, respectively, without missing any LNI cases.

conclusionExternal validation of the Muehlematter Model 1 and Amsterdam-Brisbane-Sydney nomograms for predicting LNI confirmed their strong model discrimination, moderate calibration, and good clinical utility, supporting their reliability as tools to guide clinical decision-making.

Indexed as

Antigens, SurfaceGlutamate Carboxypeptidase IINomogramsPositron Emission Tomography Computed TomographyProstatic NeoplasmsAgedHumansLymphatic MetastasisMaleMiddle AgedAntigens, SurfaceFOLH1 protein, humanGlutamate Carboxypeptidase IIExternal validationLymph node involvementNomogramProstate cancerPSMA PET/CT

Identifiers

PMID40172694
PMCPMC12316820

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.