Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40172637›Full record

ArticleEuropean radiology2025

Visual ordinal grading of aortic valve calcification on routine non-gated chest CT predicts prognosis and alters management.

Samuel G S Gunning, John Graby, Yashesh Mody, Pia F P Charters, Tim A Burnett, David Murphy, Ali Khavandi, Jonathan C L Rodrigues

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European radiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Samuel G S GunningDepartment of Anaesthetics, Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Avon, UK.
John GrabyDepartment of Cardiology, Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Avon, UK.
Yashesh ModyDepartment of Cardiology, Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Avon, UK.
Pia F P ChartersDepartment of Radiology, Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Avon, UK.
Tim A BurnettDepartment of Radiology, Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Avon, UK.
David MurphyDepartment of Cardiology, Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Avon, UK.
Ali KhavandiDepartment of Cardiology, Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Avon, UK.
Jonathan C L RodriguesDepartment for Health, University of Bath, Bath, UK. j.rodrigues1@nhs.net.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2744-3509

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveBSCI/BSTI guidelines recommend reporting aortic valve calcification (AVC) on all chest CTs regardless of indication. We assessed AVC frequency, severity, and association with aortic stenosis (AS) on echocardiography and its prognostic implications.

methodsRetrospective, single-centre analysis of consecutive chest CTs (January-December 2015) for 200 patients per age group (< 40, 40-49, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79, 80-89, ≥ 90) performed for medical, surgical, and oncological indications. CTs were re-reviewed for the presence and graded severity of AVC and coronary artery calcification (CAC). Corresponding echocardiography reports (within 5 years) reviewed for AS. Comorbidities and clinical outcomes were recorded.

resultsOne thousand three hundred seventy-seven patients were included (mean age 64 ± 20 years, 55% female). AVC was present in 25% (350/1377) and was more prevalent in males (p < 0.001). Frequency and severity increased with age (p < 0.001). 38% (524/1377) had an echocardiogram (median inter-test interval 4.3 months [IQR 0.4-17.5]). Sixteen per cent (29/178) with AVC had AS of any severity (8% [15/178] mild; 8% [14/178] moderate; 0% [0/178] severe). Sensitivity and specificity for AVC predicting AS were 91% and 70%, respectively. Extrapolating findings, 8% of individuals with AVC and without an echocardiogram may have undiagnosed AS. All-cause mortality occurred in 53% (734/1377), which AVC predicted independently of CAC and age (p < 0.001). Adjusting for confounders, severe AVC predicted all-cause mortality (HR 1.56 [1.10-2.22], p = 0.013).

conclusionsAVC identified AS in 16% of patients. Additionally, severe AVC is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in multivariable analysis. Validation in a prospective cohort is required to inform clinical practice guidelines. KEY POINTS: Question New guidelines recommend reporting AVC on all non-gated chest CTs, the prognostic and clinical relevance of which is uncertain. Findings There are associations between visually quantified AVC, AS on echocardiography, and all-cause mortality in an unselected population referred for routine chest CT. Clinical relevance These results support the reporting of all severities of AVC, especially severe AVC, as a prognostic marker in all age groups. The clinical implications require further clarification in a prospective cohort.

Indexed as

Aortic ValveAortic Valve StenosisCalcinosisRadiography, ThoracicTomography, X-Ray ComputedAdultAgedAged, 80 and overEchocardiographyFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSeverity of Illness IndexAortic valveAortic valve stenosiscalcification ofEchocardiographyTomographyX-ray computed

Identifiers

PMID40172637
PMCPMC12417276

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.