Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40170112›Full record

ArticleArthritis research & therapy2025

A diagnostic model for assessing the risk of osteoporosis in patients with rheumatoid arthritis based on bone turnover markers.

Yubo Shao, Yazhu Yang, XiaoYu Yang, Zihang Xu, Hong Zhang, Ning Li, Hao Xu, Yongjian Zhao, Yongjun Wang, Qi Shi and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis research & therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Bone Health in Rheumatoid Arthritis: An Update.Current rheumatology reports · 2026
    Review
  2. Osteoporosis in rheumatoid arthritis: a new perspective on risk factors and clinical prediction models.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Yubo Shao *Longhua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Yazhu Yang *Longhua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
XiaoYu YangLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Zihang XuSchool of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 201203, China.
Hong ZhangLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Ning LiLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Hao XuLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Yongjian ZhaoLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Yongjun WangLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Qi ShiLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China. shiqish@hotmail.com.
Qianqian LiangLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China. liangqianqian@shutcm.edu.cn.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81920108032National Natural Science Foundation of China 82174407Science and Technology Innovation Plan Of Shanghai Science and Technology Commission 21Y11921400Shanghai Municipal Health Commission 2022CX001State Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine of the People's Republic of China ZYYCXTD-C-202202
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe risk of developing osteoporosis (OP) is increased in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), which is associated with poorer prognosis and higher mortality. Many patients with RA may experience bone loss early in the disease course. Therefore, timely assessment of the risk of OP in RA patients is essential.

methodsThis is a retrospective study in which we collected information from 500 RA patients who underwent bone mineral density assessments at Longhua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, from January 2018 to December 2022. Based on the data collection timeline, the first 70% of patients were assigned to the training set, while the remaining 30% were included in the validation set. The model was established using the training set and evaluated through plotting of the receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and clinical decision curves. Internal validation was performed by resampling the training set data 1,000 times using the bootstrap method, while internal hold-out validation was conducted using the validation dataset.

resultsUltimately, six variables were identified as independently associated with RA combined with OP (RA-OP): female sex, age, beta C-terminal cross-linked peptide (β-CTX), anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA), triglycerides (TG), and N-terminal propeptide of type I procollagen (PINP). The regression equation for the model is as follows: Logistic (RA-OP) = -8.703 + 0.946*female + 0.053*age + 0.004*β-CTX + 0.001*ACPA + 0.6*TG-0.008*PINP. The model demonstrated good discrimination (AUC = 0.819, 95% CI: 0.775-0.863) and calibration. In both internal and internal hold-out validation, the model also performed well, with AUC values of 0.814 (95% CI: 0.772-0.864) and 0.772 (95% CI: 0.697-0.847), respectively. Clinical decision curves indicated that the model outperformed both extreme curves, suggesting good clinical utility.

conclusionsOur model is user-friendly and has shown good predictive performance in both internal and internal hold-out validation, offering new insights for the early screening and treatment of OP risk in RA patients.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidBone RemodelingOsteoporosisAdultAgedBiomarkersBone DensityFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsBiomarkersBone turnover markersClinical prediction modelsOsteoporosisRheumatoid arthritisRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID40170112
PMCPMC11959775

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.