Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40169550›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

The future of antibiotic use in livestock.

Alejandro Acosta, Wondmagegn Tirkaso, Francesco Nicolli, Thomas P Van Boeckel, Giuseppina Cinardi, Junxia Song

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Climate change and antimicrobial resistance.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Role of C17 fengycin B fromApplied and environmental microbiology · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Reframing livestock antimicrobial use as a global public good.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026
    Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Alejandro AcostaAnimal Production and Health Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy. alejandro.acosta@fao.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0546-0546
Wondmagegn TirkasoAnimal Production and Health Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3945-6115
Francesco NicolliAnimal Production and Health Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy.
Thomas P Van BoeckelOne Health Institute, University of Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6556-0952
Giuseppina CinardiAnimal Production and Health Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy.
Junxia SongAnimal Production and Health Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Rome, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Governments worldwide have pledged to reduce antimicrobial use in the agri-food system. This study projects global livestock antibiotic use quantities through 2040 under various scenarios. This work indicates that under a business-as-usual scenario, global antibiotic use could reach ~143,481 tons by 2040, representing a 29.5% increase from the 2019 baseline of ~110,777 tons. However, alternative scenarios suggest that these projections could vary by +14.2% to -56.8%, depending on changes in livestock biomass and antibiotic use intensity. A key contribution of this research is the development of the Livestock Biomass Conversion method, a novel indicator offering improved accuracy in estimating livestock biomass. The findings have important policy implications, highlighting that meaningful reductions in antibiotic use quantity can only be achieved through coordinated efforts targeting both antibiotic use intensity and livestock biomass.

Indexed as

Animal HusbandryAnti-Bacterial AgentsLivestockAnimalsBiomassAnti-Bacterial Agents

Identifiers

PMID40169550
PMCPMC11962127

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.