Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40163734›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Demographic interactions between the last hunter-gatherers and the first farmers.

Alfredo Cortell-Nicolau, Javier Rivas, Enrico R Crema, Stephen Shennan, Oreto García-Puchol, Jan Kolář, Robert Staniuk, Adrian Timpson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Alfredo Cortell-NicolauDepartment of Human Behavior, Ecology and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Leipzig 04103, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1982-6403
Javier RivasDepartment of Economics, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AX, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7054-0238
Enrico R CremaDepartment of Archaeology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3DZ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6727-5138
Stephen ShennanInstitute of Archaeology, University College London, London WC1H 0PY, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6605-064X
Oreto García-PucholDepartament de Prehistòria, Arqueologia i Història Antiga, Universitat de València, València 46010, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-9716-6039
Jan KolářInstitute of Archaeology, University College London, London WC1H 0PY, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8013-6992
Robert StaniukInstitute of Archaeology, University College London, London WC1H 0PY, United Kingdom.
Adrian TimpsonInstitute of Archaeology, University College London, London WC1H 0PY, United Kingdom.

Funding

ERC-StG. ENCOUNTER 801953Generalitat Valencia. PROMETEO Programme. NeoNets Prometeo/2021/007H2020 (MSCA-IF). ArchBiMod 101020631Spanish Ministry of Science MCIN/AI/10.13039/ 501100011033Spanish Ministry of Science. EVOLMED PID2021-127731NB-C21Synergy Grant. COREX 95138
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Demographic interaction processes play a pivotal role during episodes of cultural diffusion between different populations, particularly when these episodes can lead to competition for the same resources and geographic space. The diffusion of farming is one prototypical case within this broader scenario, where groups of incumbent hunter-gatherers occupied a space which would later be claimed by expanding farmers. In this work, we tackle such processes through a two-population mathematical model, where farmers and foragers compete and interact in the same geographic space. We present this work as a conceptual approach where, first, we assess the implications of our theoretical model and its general applicability and, second, we empirically test it on three case studies: Denmark, Eastern Iberia, and the island of Kyushu (Japan). While these regional case studies do not encompass the full range of processes observed in the interaction between migrant farmers and incumbent hunter-gatherers they provide reasonable variation to illustrate how our model can be fitted to a diverse range of empirical data and provide insights into these demographic processes. In particular, our theoretical model and case studies illustrate how endogenous interaction processes alone can explain the demographic fluctuations observed in the archaeological record during this transition, highlighting how these should be accounted for before invoking external forces as primary drivers.

Indexed as

AgricultureDemographyFarmersPopulation DynamicsArchaeologyDenmarkHumansJapanModels, Theoreticaldemographic interactiondynamic modellingfarming expansiongroup competitionpopulation dynamics

Identifiers

PMID40163734
PMCPMC12002272

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.