Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40163726›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Anatomy of a range contraction: Flow-phenology mismatches threaten salmonid fishes near their trailing edge.

Stephanie M Carlson, Kasey C Pregler, Mariska Obedzinski, Sean P Gallagher, Suzanne J Rhoades, Cleo Woelfle-Hazard, Nathan Queener, Sally E Thompson, Mary E Power

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Anatomy of a range contraction: Flow-phenology mismatches threaten salmonid fishes near their trailing edge.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Stephanie M CarlsonDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, & Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0003-3055-6483
Kasey C PreglerDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, & Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0002-0664-9594
Mariska ObedzinskiDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, & Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0003-0515-874X
Sean P GallagherCalifornia Department of Fish and Wildlife, Fort Bragg, CA 95437.
Suzanne J RhoadesDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, & Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0002-4632-6263
Cleo Woelfle-HazardDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, & Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0002-4363-237X
Nathan QueenerMattole Salmon Group, Petrolia, CA 95558.
Sally E ThompsonDepartment of Civil, Environmental, and Mining Engineering, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA 6009, Australia.
Mary E PowerDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0002-7894-1017

Funding

CNRA | California Department of Fish and Wildlife (CDFW) Q1996052National Science Foundation (NSF) CZP EAR-1331940
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is redistributing life on Earth, with profound impacts for ecosystems and human well-being. While repeat surveys separated by multidecadal intervals can determine whether observed shifts are in the expected direction (e.g., poleward or upslope due to climate change), they do not reveal their mechanisms or time scales: whether they were gradual responses to environmental trends or punctuated responses to disturbance events. Here, we document population reductions and temporary range contractions at multiple sites resulting from drought for three Pacific salmonids at their ranges' trailing edge. During California's 2012 to 2016 historic multiyear drought, the 2013 to 2014 winter stood apart because rainfall was both reduced and delayed. Extremely low river flows during the breeding season ("flow-phenology mismatch") reduced or precluded access to breeding habitat. While Chinook (

Indexed as

Animal MigrationSalmonidaeAnimalsCaliforniaClimate ChangeDroughtsEcosystemPopulation DynamicsRiversSeasonsdroughtextreme eventlife historymigrationspecies redistribution

Identifiers

PMID40163726
PMCPMC12002297

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.