Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40163367›Full record

SynthesiseLife2025

No evidence for a trade-off between reproduction and survival in a meta-analysis across birds.

Lucy A Winder, Mirre J P Simons, Terry Burke

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in eLife, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lucy A WinderEcology & Evolutionary Biology, School of Biosciences, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8100-0568
Mirre J P SimonsEcology & Evolutionary Biology, School of Biosciences, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
Terry BurkeEcology & Evolutionary Biology, School of Biosciences, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3848-1244

Funding

Natural Environment Research Council ACCE studentshipNatural Environment Research Council NE/J024597/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 10.35802/216405
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Life-history theory, central to our understanding of diversity in morphology, behaviour, and senescence, describes how traits evolve through the optimisation of trade-offs in investment. Despite considerable study, there is only minimal support for trade-offs within species between the two traits most closely linked to fitness - reproductive effort and survival - questioning the theory's general validity. We used a meta-analysis to separate the effects of individual quality (positive survival/reproduction correlation) from the costs of reproduction (negative survival/reproduction correlation) using studies of reproductive effort and parental survival in birds. Experimental enlargement of brood size caused reduced parental survival. However, the effect size of brood size manipulation was small and opposite to the effect of phenotypic quality, as we found that individuals that naturally produced larger clutches also survived better. The opposite effects on parental survival in experimental and observational studies of reproductive effort provide the first meta-analytic evidence for theory suggesting that quality differences mask trade-offs. Fitness projections using the overall effect size revealed that reproduction presented negligible costs, except when reproductive effort was forced beyond the maximum level observed within species, to that seen between species. We conclude that there is little support for the most fundamental life-history trade-off, between reproductive effort and survival, operating within a population. We suggest that within species the fitness landscape of the reproduction-survival trade-off is flat until it reaches the boundaries of the between-species fast-slow life-history continuum. Our results provide a quantitative explanation as to why the costs of reproduction are not apparent and why variation in reproductive effort persists within species.

Indexed as

BirdsReproductionAnimalsFemaleGenetic FitnessLongevityMalebirdsbrood manipulationbrood sizeclutch sizeevolutionary biologyintraspecific variationlife-history

Identifiers

PMID40163367
PMCPMC11957541

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.